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Housing and rates are worrying some economists that a recession is looming."One of the biggest concerns is the housing market," said Lindsey Piegza, chief economist for Stifel, on CNNMoney's "Markets Now" live show Wednesday. "It's throwing up a very large red flag and suggests maybe this 4% growth we saw in the second quarter is not sustainable."Home sales?have declined in four of the past five months as housing prices have grown -- but paychecks have remained stagnant. Many people can't afford to buy homes, and those who can are taking on a lot of debt to get into them.Piegza says that echoes what happened right before the Great Recession in 2008."We're not there yet, but this is what led us to the housing crash," she said.How could this happen again? Piegza believes that a decade of rock-bottom interest rates helped people forget about the dangers of borrowing too much."I don't know if we learned our lesson from the Great Recession," she said. "We are going back to a lot of the easy lending that we used to see."Although Piegza said a recession isn't necessarily imminent -- especially after quarterly growth just came in at the fastest pace in almost four years -- there are signs of waning momentum in the economy.Interest rates, for example, are starting to become a bad omen.The Federal Reserve, which finished up its two-day meeting Wednesday, is expected to raise its target rate two more times this year. Higher rates have boosted short-term US Treasury bond rates. But the longer-term bond rates haven't risen along with the shorter-term rates, because investors are growing wary about the economy over the long haul.With two more interest rate hikes planned, the Fed could boost short-term rates higher than long-term ones, inverting the so-called yield curve. An inverted yield curve has preceded every recession in modern history."We could easily be there by the end of the year," Piegza said. "I think we'll see pressure on the longer end by the end of the year, but the Fed will still be raising rates on the short end."Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has said that he is not concerned about an inverted yield curve. Piegza strongly disagrees."It is a predictive measure of a recession," she said. 2266

I love a flyover but It was odd to see one over a mostly empty stadium but I am an unwavering patriot that loves this country, has always respected our flag, supported the men and women in the armed forces as well as those in uniform who serve & protect and for anyone to suggest— Troy Aikman (@TroyAikman) October 20, 2020 335

If you are still out of work, chances are the bonus unemployment check has helped you out. The 0 weekly bonus passed by Congress earlier this year helped millions of Americans who lost their job due to the pandemic. OUT OF TIMEThe benefit is set to expire on July 31, however because of payment schedules, this week will be the final week of the benefit. Congress is not expected to pass a new round of relief by next week although they could offer back-pay should relief legislation eventually pass. WHY IT MIGHT NOT BE EXTENDEDDemocrats have called for extending the benefit or at the very least enhancing current unemployment payouts. Republicans, however, are more skeptical, with some believing the incentive is stopping Americans from returning to work or looking for new work. THIS WEEK IS CRUCIALNegotiations are well underway and this week will be full of developments. That's because Congress is back from their Fourth of July recess. Senator Mitch McConnell and Rep. Kevin McCarthy, both GOP leaders in Congress, met with President Donald Trump at the White House today. On Tuesday, Trump Chief of Staff Mark Meadows and Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin will attend meetings on Capitol Hill. President Trump is even rumored to potentially make an in-person appearance on Capitol Hill this week. Everything from expanding small business loans to another stimulus check is expected to be included in the negotiations. 1438

In an episode of his widely popular podcast that was released on Thursday, Joe Rogan repeated the debunked claim that left-wing provocateurs had been arrested for setting wildfires in Oregon.Last week, rumors began spreading on social media that left-wing activists, anti-fascists and members of the right-wing group The Proud Boys were responsible for setting at least some of the wildfires that are currently ravaging the state.The online rumors prompted social media posts from several local law enforcement agencies in which they debunked the rumors and asked local residents to refrain from spreading disinformation. The Douglas County Sheriff's Department even said that rumors of antifa-sparked wildfires caused their emergency disptach system to become overrun.Even the FBI debunked the rumors in a press release on Sept. 11."FBI Portland and local law enforcement agencies have been receiving reports that extremists are responsible for setting wildfires in Oregon. With our state and local partners, the FBI has investigated several such reports and found them to be untrue," the FBI's statement read.But in an episode of "The Joe Rogan Experience" released Thursday, the podcast host repeated the debunked claim to millions of listeners."I actually love Portland, it's one of my favorite places to perform. Most of the people there are very nice. But there's a madness going on there — you want to talk about madness in crowds. That exemplifies that right now," Rogan said."They've arrested people for lighting forest fires up there. They've arrested left-wing people for lighting these forest fires," Rogan added. "You know, air quote 'activists.' This is also something not widely being reported that people have been arrested for lighting fires up there." 1777

If you can't beat Amazon, partner with it.Kohl's is doing another deal with Jeff Bezos. The department store chain said Tuesday that 82 stores in the Chicago and Los Angeles areas will soon accept return items from Amazon. Kohl's will pack and ship the merchandise back to the online retailing giant for free.Earlier this month, Kohl's announced a plan to sell the Alexa-enabled Echo home speaker, Fire TV, tablets and other Amazon-branded devices in 10 of its stores.The latest partnership between Kohl's and Amazon comes as traditional retailers try (and often fail) to adapt to a rapidly changing landscape. Toys 'R' Us filed for bankruptcy protection late Monday.Toys 'R' Us has been hurt by Amazon, as well as Walmart and Target. But other retailers are following the lead of Kohl's and have decided to work more closely with Amazon to boost sales.Sears, which also owns Kmart, has been one of the worst-performing retailers of the past decade. But the company announced in July that it would sell Kenmore appliances, including some that are compatible with Alexa, on Amazon.Related: Wall Street bets Amazon will doom department storesCooper Smith, director of Amazon research at L2, a firm that tracks the digital performance of brands, says he expects more retailers to partner with Amazon -- but they will need to be wary at the same time."Doing deals with Amazon makes sense. They can help get consumers to come back, especially around Black Friday," he said. "But these retailers will have to tread a careful line when partnering with Amazon."That's because Amazon isn't just working with other retailers. The company has opened its own physical stores, Amazon Books, that sells best-selling books and Amazon devices.And in its biggest brick-and-mortar move of all, Amazon bought Whole Foods this year for nearly billion. The deal recently closed, and now you can buy Amazon gadgets at the grocery store along with kale and quinoa.It should come as no surprise, then, that investors in Barnes & Noble and Kroger aren't too pleased with Amazon's increased clout in the real world. The stocks of both companies have plunged nearly 40% this year, while Amazon is up 30%.L2's Smith notes that Amazon has its sights set on clothing, too. That could pose a problem for Kohl's and Sears."Amazon is launching private label apparel brands of its own," Smith said, adding that this could hurt sales of bargain-priced fashion at Kohl's, Sears and other department stores.Related: Nordstrom may reinvent itselfNot every big traditional retailer is throwing in the towel.Chuck Grom, an analyst with Gordon Haskett, notes that Macy's recently hired Hal Lawton, formerly a senior executive at eBay, to be its president. Nordstrom is launching a format called Nordstrom Local with no inventory. The Local stores will have stylists who help people pick out clothes that they can order online. The stores will serve wine and beer, too."We continue to observe more and more collaboration between digitally native companies and traditional retailers -- a theme that we think will continue to build momentum in the coming quarters," Grom wrote in a report Tuesday.And Walmart continues to boost its own digital operations under the leadership of Marc Lore, who joined the retailer after Walmart bought his company Jet.com last year."Walmart has done an extremely great job online under Lore," Smith said. "It's shaping up to be an all-out price war between Walmart and Amazon, and if anyone can beat Amazon at its own game, it's Walmart."The-CNN-Wire? & ? 2017 Cable News Network, Inc., a Time Warner Company. All rights reserved. 3639