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BEIJING, Feb. 3 (Xinhua) -- Chinese economists are again concerned about the value of the country's dollar-denominated assets after the U.S. government's budget plan unveiled Monday forecast a record deficit for 2010.The economists are worried that, if the Congress approved the budget plan, the U.S. federal government will issue more bonds and print more money to finance the deficit, which may prompt dollar depreciation. Dollar depreciation erodes the value of China's holdings of dollar-denominated assets.The same fears took hold almost one year ago when the U.S. government said it would issue up to 2.56 trillion U.S. dollars of treasury bond debt to stimulate the economy to get through the recession.This time the budget deficit is larger. The Obama administration on Monday proposed a budget of 3.83 trillion U.S. dollars for fiscal year 2011 with a forecast deficit of 1.56 trillion U.S. dollars in 2010.The planned fiscal deficit is 10.6 percent of gross domestic product (GDP) - up from a 9.9 percent share in 2009 - the largest deficit as measured against GDP since the second world war.He Maochun, director of the Center for Economic Diplomacy Studies at Tsinghua University, said the deficit would be financed by those holding U.S. dollar-denominated assets with the main channel to transfer the risks caused by the deficit being the issuance of U.S. treasury bonds.The U.S. is already in enormous debt, with Treasury data showing public debt topping 12 trillion U.S. dollars in November last year, the highest ever.To pay for the deficit, the U.S. federal government will borrow 392 billion dollars in the January to March quarter of 2010, according to a Treasury Department statement released Monday. It will then issue 268 billion U.S. dollars of treasury bonds in the second quarter.Experts said the record deficit suggests the federal reserve will continue to flood more money into the market. The massive issuance of treasury bonds, the large fiscal deficit and the printing of the dollar will prompt further declines in the value of dollar, they said.In 2009, the greenback depreciated against major currencies by 8.5 percent, according to China's State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE).China is the biggest foreign holder of the U.S. government debt. As of the end of November last year, China held 789.6 billion U.S. dollars of U.S. treasury bonds. Moreover, more than 60 percent of China's 2.399 trillion U.S. dollar stockpile of foreign exchange reserves - the world's largest - is in dollars.Cao Honghui, director of the Financial Market Research Office of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS), a government think tank, said the massive U.S. deficit spending and near-zero interest rates would erode the value of U.S. bonds.The U.S. government should not transfer the problems of enormous debt to other nations or regions that are creditors like China, he added.The SAFE said in a statement in December 2009 that China would diversify its foreign exchange reserve holdings - both currencies and securities - to reduce risk.Liu Yuhui, an economist with the CASS, said late last month China may scale back its purchases of U.S. debt on concern the dollar will decline.China trimmed its holdings of U.S. government debt by 9.3 billion U.S. dollars in November last year - the biggest cut in five months - taking them down to 789.6 billion U.S. dollars.Ding Zhijie, associate dean at the finance school at the University of International Business and Economics, said China had been securing its investment value by using its foreign exchange reserves for imports and acquisition in 2009."More reserves should be used for investment in materials and resources, which can reduce the risk," he said, adding that he expects the purchasing spree to continue this year.The deficit is expected to ease slightly to 1.3 trillion U.S. dollars in 2011, but that still represents 8.3 percent of 2011 GDP.But Ding said it is necessary for the U.S. to keep its powerful fiscal stimulus policy in place, as the economic recovery is fragile and remains uncertain.The U.S. economy shrank 2.4 percent in 2009, but the U.S. government is projecting GDP growth of 2.7 percent in 2010 and an unemployment rate average of 10 percent.Zuo Xiaolei, chief economist at China Galaxy Securities, said the U.S. had no choice but to rely on massive government spending to ensure the economic recovery.The budget deficit will pump money into the economy and generate jobs, which in turn will generate greater tax revenue that can help pay off the debt, Zuo said."But there is still a risk the policy will fail and that debt will grow beyond the government's ability to pay," in which case the entire global recovery will be threatened.
BEIJING, Jan. 17 (Xinhua) -- The United States needs to face up to its own imbalances rather than engage in more China bashing over trade, said world-renowned economist Stephen Roach. "The West, especially the United States, needs to take a long hard look in the mirror and face up to its own imbalances. Hypocrisy is not a recipe for global statesmanship," wrote Roach in Singapore's leading financial daily Business Times this week. As U.S. congress and the White House look toward the mid-term elections of 2010, Washington could well up the ante on China bashing -- moving from a rhetorical assault to widespread trade sanctions, predicted Roach, chairman of Morgan Stanley Asia. He noted that the United States has already imposed trade sanctions on Chinese exports of tyres, coated paper product and steel piping and grating in recent month. Roach argued that the expected salvo from Washington was apparently built on hypocrisy as the United States itself should also be held accountable for the global economic imbalances. Meaningful progress on global rebalancing could not occur without progress by both China and the United States and that China has a more optimistic prospect of achieving rebalancing, he said. "There is good reason to believe that China ... is about to take dramatic steps in rebalancing its domestic economy in a fashion that would provide a sustained and meaningful reduction in its current account surplus." China viewed the recent crisis and recession as an unmistakable wake-up call, which left the country with little choice other than to shift the sources of its GDP growth from external to internal markets, he said. However, it was hard to be sanguine about the outlook for America's saving and current account imbalance. "The United States, with its massive shortfall in domestic saving, has come to rely heavily on surplus saving from abroad to fund economic growth. And it must run massive current account deficits in order to attract that capital," he said. All nations need to be accountable for the role they need to play in driving a long overdue global rebalancing, said Roach. "It would be the height of folly to try and force China into a counter-productive approach, especially since it appears to be taking its own rebalancing agenda very seriously."

BEIJING, March 2 (Xinhua) -- A senior public security official of China on Tuesday urged relevant departments and local authorities to do a good job in ensuring security and maintaining stability as the annual national parliamentary and advisory sessions approach.All local authorities and relevant departments should make further efforts to ensure the meetings of the National People's Congress (NPC) and the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC) go on safely and smoothly, Yang Huanning, administrative vice minister of public security, said at a national teleconference."The task of ensuring security and maintaining stability during the two sessions remains onerous" despite previous efforts in this regard, said Yang."We should keep clear-minded and never lower our guard," Yang warned.He urged local officials to do more work in dissolving social conflicts and try to root up troubles that may disturb stability.The vice minister also ordered to minimize the inconvenience that security measures might cause to people's life and work.Incidents that might disturb social stability and threaten security should be handled properly and strictly according to the law, Yang warned.Huang Ming, vice minister of public security, demanded at the same meeting emergencies and breaking events be dealt with promptly and properly.The annual full session of the CPPCC National Committee, the top advisory body, is slated to open Wednesday afternoon, while that of the NPC, the national legislature, is scheduled to open Friday.
BEIJING, Feb. 1 (Xinhua) -- The Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC), the world's largest lender by market value, said Monday it extended 110 billion yuan (16.1 billion U.S. dollars) of new loans in January, less than the amount in the same period of 2009."The lending growth in January was stable and moderate, which has well satisfied the real economic demand," the bank said.The ICBC statistics showed lendings of the bank totaled 117.1 billion yuan in January 2009.The bank said it would focus on financing ongoing government projects and continue to extend more loans to small businesses, while strictly controlling loans to new projects and high energy-consuming and polluting industries.ICBC last Wednesday said its loan growth in early and mid-January was "a little fast" as many ongoing projects needed funds, but the lending pace had stabilized since, as a concentrated volume of existing loans had come due and some credit card debts had been repaid.It also announced it would maintain a "reasonable and balanced" lending rate in a move to ease mounting public concerns about possible credit cuts.To prevent economic overheating, the government last month announced it would restrict its overall credit growth to 7.5 trillion yuan in 2010, compared with last year's 9.59 trillion yuan.However, a report from Monday's Economic Information Daily said that as of Jan. 29, Chinese banks had already extended nearly 1.6 trillion yuan new loans this year.
BEIJING, March 5 (Xinhua) -- Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao on Friday reiterated determination to curb the excessive growth of home prices in major cities and satisfy people's basic need for housing.He made the pledge while delivering a government work report to the Third Session of the 11th National People's Congress(NPC), China's top legislature, which is the latest demonstration of the government's determination to tame the runaway home prices.Driven by record bank lending and favorable tax breaks, China saw a sharp residential property price hike nationwide in the past year, triggering heated public complaints and fears of possible assets bubble.China's home prices in 70 large- and medium-sized cities, a housing price trend barometer, climbed 9.5 percent in January 2010 from a year earlier, the fastest growth in 19 months. Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao delivers a government work report during the opening meeting of the Third Session of the 11th National People's Congress (NPC) at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, capital of China, March 5, 2010Wen promised an increased supply of low-cost housing and common residential houses, restraining of speculative purchase, tighter land use management and stricter control of bank credit.A total of 63.2 billion yuan (9.25 billion U.S.dollars) will be spent by the central government in low-income housing in 2010, an increase of 8.1 billion yuan, or 14.7 percent over last year, Wen said.The government will also build 3 million housing units for low-income families and renovate 2.8 million shanty units, he said.Wen's remarks indicate the government's regulation target in the real estate sector this year, which will emphasize on satisfying demand of mid- and low-income families while ensuring a healthy development of the market, said Gu Yunchang, vice president of China Real Estate Research Association."To curb the excessive growth of home prices is a must for the healthy development, or else the foaming market would bring destructive consequences to the industry," said Gu.China's central and local governments has begun to take moves to deflate the housing bubble since late last year, including reimposing a sales tax on homes sold within five years of their purchase and raising down payment requirement for families buying a second or more houses with bank loans.In another move to cool the property market, the People's Bank of China, the central bank, announced twice within a month to raise the deposit reserve requirement ratio earlier this year.During an online chat with the Chinese Internet users last week, Wen expressed his confidence in the government measures in response to complaints over soaring home prices."It is the government's responsibility to guide the property market. I am confident that the government will ensure the healthy development of the property market," he said.
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