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SAN DIEGO (KGTV) — The month of love is upon us, which means couples planning to tie the knot on Valentine's Day don't have long to request a ceremony with the county.The San Diego County Clerk’s office is accepting appointments for couples wanting to renew their vows or get married on Feb. 14."We are excited to offer walk-in services at our historic downtown office on the waterfront for Valentine’s Day and don’t want couples to miss their chance at a Valentine’s Day wedding," said County Clerk Ernie Dronenburg. The downtown office (at 1600 Pacific Highway, Suite 273) will be open from 8 a.m. to 5 p.m. for marriage licenses and ceremony appointments. Ceremonies can be performed at Waterfront Park or inside at ceremony rooks overlooking the bay.The County Clerk accepts walk-in services at its downtown location only and appointments are required at Chula Vista, San Marcos, and Santee offices.Non-confidential marriage licenses cost and an additional if a couple would like their ceremony to be performed by city staff in English or Spanish.Appointments can be made online at County Clerk's website or by phone at 619-237-0502. 1153
SAN DIEGO (KGTV) — The latest ABC News national polling average shows former Vice President Joe Biden leading President Donald Trump by 8 points.But a lot of people are wondering, can we trust the polls after what happened in 2016?The last time Donald Trump was on the ballot in 2016, the polls had him trailing former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton by an average of 3.2 percentage points, and we know what happened.However, pollsters weren’t off by as much as you might think.“At the national level, the polling was, remarkably, given all things, precise,” said Jay Leve, CEO of the polling firm SurveyUSA.Trump lost the popular vote by 2.1 points instead of 3.2, the most accurate these national polls had been in 80 years, according to an analysis by the American Association for Public Opinion Research.Where the polls did miss badly was at the state level, particularly in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, three states that were critical in the Electoral College.Leve said there were several reasons for the polling problems at the state level.“Polling is a very expensive undertaking and so it is not possible for the handful of media organizations with pockets deep enough to afford a public opinion poll to be able to poll in every critical battleground state,” he said.Another reason? “Some of it has to do with what’s called ‘weighting,’” he added.To understand weighting, you have to know the two R’s of a good poll: it needs to be representative and random.Random samples are critical to the accuracy of polling, and you can look to your kitchen for an example why. Picture adding salt to a soup. If you mix it right, you can check the taste with any one spoonful -- you don’t have to eat the entire pot. That’s because each spoonful is a truly random sample.If you don’t mix the salt in, you could easily wind up sampling a part of the soup without any salt.When you’re trying to sample the American public with a political poll, either over the phone or most of the time now online, it’s more challenging to get a perfectly random spoonful.“The challenge is to find the individuals in the right numbers and secure their cooperation. Those two things don’t automatically work in sync,” Leve said. “People don’t want to be disturbed. They want privacy and a pollster by definition is an interruption.”It turns out, certain people tend to resist taking polls, while others are more willing. Research shows people with college degrees are more likely to respond to surveys than high school grads.That means surveys run the risk of not being representative of the voter population at large, and Leve said that kind of imbalance played a big role in 2016.To make a sample representative, pollsters gather up as many responses as they can, then adjust them with a process called weighting -- basically boosting or shrinking responses from people with certain demographics to match census data and the expected turnout.“The weighting criteria that was in issue in 2016 was whether you had enough non-college educated white voters in your sample,” Leve said. “If you did, you got the Trump forecast correct.”State polls that didn’t weight by education level missed badly, because to an extent far greater than in previous elections, voters with a college education broke for Clinton while voters with a high school education backed Trump.There’s some evidence that pollsters have learned from their 2016 mistakes. Polling in the 2018 midterms was very accurate -- a full point better than the average over the last 20 years.So can we trust the polls this time around?Leve says yes, as long as you remember that polls are just a snapshot in time and Donald Trump is difficult to predict.“Don’t be surprised if something happens in the final four, five, six days of the election, right before November 3rd, that’s so unforeseeable that neither you nor I nor anyone watching us could have imagined. And if so, that’s going to throw all the polls off,” he said. 3979
SAN DIEGO (KGTV) — The City of San Diego could go to court to invalidate a landmark pension reform measure that voters overwhelmingly supported in 2012.The City Council is expected to meet in closed session the week June 10 to decide whether to ask a judge to throw out Measure B. The measure switched most new hires from pensions to 401(k) style retirement plans. More than 65 percent of San Diego voters supported Measure B in 2012. The problem, however, is that the measure got to the ballot via a citizens initiative, but then-Mayor Jerry Sanders campaigned on its behalf. Labor unions challenged the initiative in court, contending the mayor's involvement meant the city needed to meet and confer with them. The state Supreme Court agreed, and an appellate court ordered the city to make its employees whole, plus pay them 7 percent interest. The courts, however, did not invalidate Measure B, instead directing the city to work out a compromise with the unions. On Thursday, City Councilman Scott Sherman and former Councilman Carl DeMaio held a news conference pushing the city to protect Measure B."Right now we are being asked to go against what our bosses told us, and I don't think we should do that," Sherman said, adding that the city spends 0 million a year now meeting its minimum pension obligations. DeMaio said he would work with a coalition to go to court to protect Measure B. "I'm talking about putting the City of San Diego back on the brink of bankruptcy, let alone telling voters that they don't have a say on where their tax dollars go," he said. Early estimates indicate the amount needed to make employees whole ranges from negligible to million.Michael Zucchet, who heads the Municipal Employees Association, said the only rational way to move forward is to invalidate Measure B."It is time for the City and its citizens to move forward by ending the Prop B debacle with the least amount of additional litigation and expense, and at the same time help address the City’s severe recruitment and retention challenges brought about because San Diego is the only City in California with no defined benefit pension nor Social Security benefits for newly hired employees," Zucchet said in a statement.Mayor Kevin Faulconer said in a statement he would oppose any effort to get rid of Measure B. "Voters demanded pension reform and we should respect that, plain and simple," Faulconer said. The mayor cannot vote, however, in the decision facing the City Council. 2500
SAN DIEGO (KGTV) -- The effort to establish a new independent police commission in the City of San Diego appears to be heading to victory.As of Wednesday afternoon, Measure B was leading with roughly 75% voting yes.There is currently a Community Review Board on Police Practices, but supporters of Measure B said that body is far from independent.“Their legal council is the city attorney, who represents both the Police Officers Association and the CRB so it represents a true conflict of interest,” Maresa Talbert with San Diegans for Justice told ABC 10News back in June.Proponents of the new Commission on Police Practices said they have been waiting for years for this to be a reality.“A lot of people will look at this and think, oh look, it happened overnight. Well, no,” said Martha Sullivan, one of the early members of Women Occupy San Diego. “It took nine years of very persistent [and] consistent, research, education, [and] lobbying.”One of the goals of Women Occupy San Diego ended up being police reform after the Occupy San Diego protests in 2011 and 2012. Sullivan said they submitted complaints to the review board at that time, but many of those complaints were lost.Since then, the push for an independent police commission grew. “This measure is the epitome of strength in numbers. It is the epitome of community support,” said Andrea St. Julian with San Diegans for Justice. She helped write the charter amendment that ultimately became Measure B.The Community Review Board will be dissolved and the new commission will be formed, once election results are certified. The commission will have independent counsel, subpoena power, and the ability to review officer misconduct and make recommendations.“They'll have greatly expanded powers, a lot more responsibility, and a lot more freedom to do the right thing,” St. Julian said.Jack Schaeffer, President of the San Diego Police Officers Association, said the POA took a neutral stance on Measure B.“We trusted the voters to decide on the type of oversight that they believe is necessary. We believe this election provided them an opportunity to do just that,” Schaeffer said in a statement to ABC 10News. “SDPOA will continue to support oversight in whatever form the community as a whole demands.” 2279
SAN DIEGO (KGTV) - The coronavirus pandemic has put extra pressure and stress on families across San Diego. Now, experts worry that could be leading to a rise in child abuse."It's extraordinarily troubling," says Dr. Shalon Nienow, the Child Abuse Pediatrics Program's Clinical Director at Rady Children's Hospital's Chadwick Center."Since we started the pandemic, our volume has increased," Dr. Nienow says, noting that outpatient services are up 82% and inpatient treatment is up 75% since mid-March.Studies over the last decade have shown that economic struggles often lead to increases in child abuse. Nienow believes the Pandemic coupled with the economic downturn, has made it worse."People are isolated," Dr. Nienow says. "They don't have access to support services, and they're forced to take on roles they're not prepared for, such as being a teacher."The increased instances of child abuse and maltreatment may not be purely physical. San Diego County District Attorney Summer Stephan says her office has seen a dramatic increase in internet crimes against children during the pandemic. She says the amount has quadrupled since March."Kids are at home, they're on their tablets," Stephan explains. "On the internet, the predatory behavior of people trying to sexually exploit and recruit and get our kids to go into harm's way is really exploding... There is a direct correlation between kids being at home, out of school, out of their sports, and the increase of predatory and abusive crimes against them."Making matters worse, says Stephan and Dr. Nienow, is that the number of calls and reports of child abuse to Child Welfare Services has dropped dramatically since March.An ABC 10News Investigation in early April showed a nearly 60% drop in calls to CWS at the start of the pandemic. The county says now they're still seeing a 30% drop.In 2019, CWS fielded around 27,000 calls from April through August. In 2020, CWS took only approximately 19,000 calls."We certainly know families have more needs now than ever before and are struggling with all of the effects from the pandemic," says Dr. Kimberly Giardina, the Director of San Diego County Child Welfare Services.Experts believe the drop in calls is because kids are spending less time around teachers and doctors, who are legally required to report any signs of abuse they see."They tend to be a significant safety net for kids, and now that safety net is somewhat gone," says Dr. Nienow."Our teachers and counselors are the eyes and ears," adds Stephan. "They are the Safe Harbor."In their absence, the County and DA's office has launched training programs, which teach people how to recognize signs of abuse during online interactions like Zoom classes or telehealth visits. The county also authorized million in CARES Act funding to pay for community outreach and education.Stephan also sent a 7-page letter to Governor Gavin Newsom, detailing the scope of the problem. She asked him to take it into account when deciding whether or not to let schools reopen for in-person learning."I felt a responsibility that these alarming statistics become part of that conversation because the health of our kids and their safety has to be paramount," says Stephan.Dr. Giardina says Child Welfare Services is also working hard to make sure kids are safe. Their employees follow up on every call they receive and found ways to conduct in-person visits during the pandemic safely."We are out there," she says. "Our staff are working hard every day to make sure that those kids are safe."Experts all say it has become critical for parents, other family members, and neighbors to report any signs of abuse they see."Educate yourself," says Stephan. "Educate your children so that they can remain safe while we wait for our life to go back to normal and for kids to go back to school and to the safety of having those mandatory reporters.""It takes a village to raise healthy kids," says Dr. Nienow. "Especially now, when people are expected to deal with different stressors in their life, providing support to those families is really important."For more information, or to report suspected child abuse, call the County Hotline at 858-560-2191. You can also call 211.Within the state of California, you can call toll free, 1-800-344-6000. 4307