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SAN DIEGO (KGTV) -- Ahead of the United Nations Climate Summit next week, 10News is diving deeper into the affects of climate change. Climate change is leading to more dangerous and deadly wildfires and so often after fires scorch the ground in the fall, the heavy winter rains in atmospheric rivers lead to mudslides and flooding.The scary reality is that these types of storms are going to get stronger. According to Alexander Gershunov, a research meteorologist at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography at UCSD, "we know for certain that atmospheric rivers are going to get stronger in the future, in a warmer atmosphere more water vapor can be held so atmospheric rivers are basically plumes of very intense concentrated moisture and they're just going to get wetter as they get warmer. As those wetter atmospheric rivers hit the coast and coastal mountain ranges the moisture is squeezed out of them and we get more extreme precipitation events."He goes on to say, "climate change is definitely making atmospheric rivers warmer and wetter as well as longer and fatter so they carry more moisture. In the future they will produce even more of the precipitation extremes and be an even bigger contributor to the water resources of the region as well as to flooding."Climate change may lead to a more devastating threat, called the ARkStorm.The ARkStorm is patterned after the historic flooding of 1861 to 1862, but uses modern modeling methods and data from large storms in 1969 and 1986. The ARkStorm draws heat and moisture from the tropical pacific, forming a series of atmospheric rivers that approach hurricane-strength and then slam the west coast creating a statewide disaster.In 2010, scientific experts met to create the ARkStorm Scenario Report for the USGS, imagining aspects of flooding of biblical proportions reaching the Western U.S. with weeks of rain and snow followed by catastrophic floods, landslides and property and infrastructure damage which would cripple California's economy.CLIMATE CHANGE:-- A growing wildfire season-- Sea-level rise and the impacts to San Diego-- Living in a warming world"What was found that the cost could exceed 0 billion. To put that into perspective, the economy of California is .7 trillion so that’s almost a third of our state product," explained Tom Corringham, a post-doctoral research economist at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography at UCSD.Move these flooding models yourself: click here.Models in the ARkStorm report show multiple areas of submergence in central San Diego. Mission Beach, which routinely sees flooding during heavy rain, is underwater in the ARkStorm scenario. Fiesta island, ordinarily dry, disappears under Mission Bay.West-facing beaches, including those near Highway 1 in north county, are covered in water and Imperial beach fares no better in its known run-off spots."The ARkStorm scenario isn’t too far-fetched and it becomes increasingly possible with the effects of climate change." Says Tom Corringham.The timing of the next ARkStorm is uncertain, according to the National Weather Service, it could be next year, or it could be 120 years from now. 3158

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) - After releasing a new study showing the link between free, unstructured play and increased brain development, doctors may now start prescribing playtime for young children.The study, titled "The Power of Play" by the American Academy of Pediatrics, says free, unstructured play, "is brain building, a central part of healthy child development, a key to executive function skills, and a buffer against the negative impacts of stress. Furthermore, play builds the bond between parent and child."The study blames an increase in strict scheduling, more screen time and parents' safety concerns as reasons why play time has dropped by as much as 25% over the last 30 years.The AAP is now advising its member-pediatricians to prescribe playtime to kids when they come in for wellness exams and check-ups."The benefits of play cannot really be overstated in terms of mitigating stress, improving academic skills and helping to build the safe, stable and nurturing relationships that buffer against toxic stress and build social-emotional resilience," says Michael Yogman, MD, FAAP, lead author of the AAP report.Local child development experts in San Diego agree, saying free play gives kids life-long skills."That's exactly what children need, especially in pre-school," says Andrea Wilson, the Manager at Rady Children's Hospital's Alexa's Playful Learning Academy for Young Children."That's the opportunity for them to turn-take, build empathy, use their communication skills, learn to be team players."Wilson's school emphasizes unstructured play in its classes. She says parents need to take part at home too, by giving kids choices when they play and letting them lead the way."Tell them, 'You can play with this toy, you can play with that toy,' and see what they want to do from there," says Wilson. "Also ask a lot of open-ended questions and learn with them as well."According to the study, screen-time is one of the biggest reasons kids aren't free-playing anymore. Wilson says it's easy to give kids an alternative, even when they're away from home."Having a bag of books, crayons and manipulative toys is always a better option than putting a screen in front of them," she says.As for how much free play kids need, the study doesn't give a specific set limit. Instead, it says that even as little as 15 minutes of free play showed positive results in kids' stress levels when compared to 15 minutes of being read to.The report also says that parents and doctors need to push schools towards scheduling more recess time, so kids have the chance to explore on their own. 2616

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) -- After saving the lives of four strangers, a San Diego organ donor will be honored in the Rose Parade.Loved ones describe Alessandro 'Ale' Speroni as a vibrant, loving, and selfless man."Ale is, still is, a ray of light in a dark day. He was always smiling, always having a good word for everybody," said Francesca Messori, Speroni's good friend.RELATED: South Bay mom meets woman who received her son's heartSperoni, 41, was born in Italy but fell in love with San Diego on vacation and never left. Here he also fell in love with his wife Dana, who was a customer at his coffee shop."His smile was just captivating, he was an amazing listener, he was full of life," said Dana. Ale passed away unexpectedly, suffering a brain aneurysm while surfing. RELATED: Couple's need for transplants highlights shortage of organ donationsHe was in the hospital for five days so his organs could be kept alive. "His heart kept on beating because he knew it was going to someone special," said Dana. Ale was a registered organ donor, and Lifesharing carried out his final wishes by finding recipients for his heart, liver, kidneys, and pancreas. "Losing a loved one is very hard; there are no words that can really describe that. But to know that a piece of him is still out there, to know that he gave people a second chance at life, that's just a miracle," said Dana.RELATED: Family sees organ donation as their calling after son undergoes heart and kidney transplantsDana, along with her brother and Messori, spent over nine hours creating a floral portrait of Ale, which will be featured on the Rose Parade Lifesharing float."I'm going to be ecstatic to see this beautiful man just driving by and for the whole world to see what a gift he gave to four people," said Dana.Dana hopes her husband's story will inspire others to give the gift of life. You can sign up today to become an organ donor. 1913

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) -- A winter storm warning was issued for San Diego County’s mountains as a cold storm hit the region Monday..The warning is in place from 8 a.m. Monday through 4 a.m. Tuesday, according to the National Weather Service.“The agency says heavy snow and strong winds are expected. Plan on difficult travel conditions, including during the evening commute on Monday. Tree branches could fall as well,” forecasters said.Total snow accumulations of two to six inches are expected with localized amounts of 12 to 18 inches. The heaviest snow is expected to impact areas above 5,500 feet, however, some snow is expected down to 4,500 feet.Accompanying the snow are heavy winds of 20 to 40 miles per hour.RELATED: Check today's forecast in your area“If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency,” the National Weather Service advised.A high surf advisory also takes the place of a beach hazards statement as the storm approaches. The advisory is in effect from 6 a.m. Sunday through 10 a.m. Wednesday for San Diego County coastal areas.Surf begins to build Sunday, peaking Monday afternoon through Tuesday, the agency says. Waves and surf of three to six feet are expected Sunday, increasing to four to seven feet with sets to eight feet by Monday.Accompanying the high surf is a slight chance of isolated thunderstorms and lighting at the beaches Monday, the National Weather Service said.Coastal areas could also see nearly an inch of rain as the storm passes. 1533

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) -- A suspect police tried to pull over for speeding Thursday afternoon led officers on a chase.The chase came to an end on the 3600 block of Federal Boulevard near the Hillside Apartments, according to police.At this time, the details surrounding the chase are unclear though the driver could be seen being taken into custody. 351