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SAN DIEGO (KGTV) — After the polls close on Election Night, ABC News and the other major networks will start projecting winners and “calling” races, in some cases well before the official vote counts are finalized.They’ll do it by relying on data from a New Jersey-based company called Edison Research.Edison provides exit polls, survey data, and vote counts for ABC, NBC, CBS and CNN. The company has provided data for this group of networks, known as the National Election Pool, since 2004.“We know what we're doing is really, really important,” said the company’s president Larry Rosin.In certain races, networks will project a winner shortly after the polls close, sometimes before state election officials report any official vote totals. Such a projection is nicknamed an “insta-call” in the news business.Networks only make insta-calls in races where Edison’s exit polls and telephone surveys in the days leading up to the election show a decisive winner, Rosin said.ABC News only issues a projection when statistical models overseen by a team of mathematicians and elections experts show a winner with 99.5 percent confidence.Each network has its own team of experts that crunch Edison’s numbers. Fox News makes projections based on data provided by the Associated Press.When a race is close, the network decision teams turn to more complicated math.“It’s a matter of looking at that historical vote all the way down to the precinct or county level and comparing how the vote is coming in, in that state up to that point,” said Rosin.On Election Night, Edison has thousands of employees fanned out in virtually every county across the nation, monitoring the vote count as it comes in and manually reporting the totals when necessary. There are other employees whose job is to check the numbers for accuracy.Edison’s data helps networks understand how preliminary vote totals compare to the way regions voted in the past, which is an important metric in an election forecast.“If every precinct was just a little bit more Republican than it had been four years ago, you have a good sense that all the other precincts that are similar will likely be a little more Republican, and the Republican will do a little better than four years ago,” Rosin said as an example.Using those kinds of trends, the networks then forecast how many ballots are still left to be counted, and what kind of ballots those are -- either in-person early votes, in-person votes on Election Day, or mail-in votes.At that point it comes down to a formula, comparing the known reported votes to the outstanding votes a candidate is likely to gain.“It’s a very high pressure project, but I’m proud to say that no network has made an incorrect call since the 2004 cycle,” which was Edison’s first year providing election data to the networks, Rosin said.The company started doing this after the debacle in 2000, when networks incorrectly called the race in Florida between George W. Bush and Al Gore. Rosin said a lot of things have changed since then.“The pressure to make calls correctly really superseded the pressure to call quickly,” he said.This year could be a challenging one to forecast, Rosin said, with so many more mail-in ballots because of the pandemic. Mail-in ballots take longer to process because election workers have to compare the signature on the mail-in ballot against the signature a voter has on file.For that reason, Rosin said it may take a while for the networks to call races in certain key battleground states that start their counting process late, like Pennsylvania and Michigan. 3594

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) - An autopsy performed on the teenager known as McSkillet is providing details about his mental state before he crashed his McLaren on Interstate 805 in San Diego, killing a mother and daughter.Trevor Heitmann, 18, died on August 23 when he drove the wrong way on the freeway in University City at 100 miles an hour. Heitmann’s sports car crashed into an SUV, killing Aileen Pizarro, 43, and her 12-year-old daughter Aryana. The California Highway Patrol reported that video of the impact shows Heitmann did not attempt to swerve before hitting the SUV.The San Diego County Medical Examiner said Heitmann suffered 11 types of blunt force injuries in the crash. Toxicology tests did not detect any alcohol or common drugs, doctors said. Heitmann's death was ruled accidental by officials. (Official report here.)RELATED: Popular YouTuber identified in wrong-way crash that killed mother and daughterHeitmann had no medical or surgical history, was not known to use tobacco, illegal drugs, or alcohol, and had no history of depression or diagnosis of mental illness, medical examiners reported. He did not leave behind a suicide note.Five days before the crash, Heitmann’s behavior changed, his parents said to the Medical Examiner’s Office. He told his parents he thought he was having a “meltdown”. His behavior suggested mania, officials reported.The CHP said Heitmann's vehicle was linked to an incident at Ashley Falls Elementary School in Carmel Valley before the crash, in which several students said the driver of a sports car drove through a fence. Del Mar Union School District said the driver got out of the car and broke a window, though no classes were in session.RELATED: Neighbor: Police called to YouTuber's home on day of deadly crashHeitmann told his mother he had driven his McLaren 150 miles per hour in a 25 mile per hour zone going the wrong direction, according to the autopsy report. Heitmann’s father asked him what he thought would happen if police caught him and Heitmann said that “neither the police nor their bullets could hurt him,” the report indicated.The day of the crash, Heitmann's parents contacted San Diego Police to request a psychiatric evaluation but were told it could not be performed because Heitmann had not broken any laws, medical examiners reported.Heitmann also cried and said he was having a "breakdown" the morning of the crash before sleeping for four hours. When he woke up, he was behaving irrationally, his parents told the Medical Examiner’s Office.RELATED: Son remembers mother, sister killed in I-805 crashHeitmann’s McLaren was blocked by his father’s vehicle, which he rammed to get out of the driveway and leave their Carmel Valley home. Heitmann’s father later contacted the California Highway Patrol to find his son before learning of the crash.Heitmann was known as McSkillet in the video game community and had a successful YouTube channel. One of the videos on McSkillet's page shows off a black McLaren and talks about how his earnings as a YouTube and Counter-Strike "Steam" content producer helped pay for the luxury sports car.Heitmann's popularity surrounded his trading and collection of rare video game content, called "skins," which are pieces of content for Counter-Strike players. He was banned earlier this year from trading skins with other players by the video game's developer, Valve. The "trade ban" cut him off from his collection, believed to be valued at anywhere from 0,000 to 0,000 at the time, and created an issue with his ability to continue producing sponsored videos.RELATED: How YouTuber in I-805 crash made fortune in gaming videosHeitmann’s parents issued a statement which read in part, “We express our deepest condolences to the Pizarro family and anyone impacted by this incident.”Aileen Pizarro, a therapist, left behind two sons to mourn their mother and little sister."Both of them were the most caring...people full of life, you've ever met in the world," Dominic Pizarro said. A GoFundMe account for the Pizarro family raised more than ,000, well above its ,000 goal. 4189

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) - A San Diego-based company is ramping up its production of ventilators to meet rising demand around the world. ResMed is primarily known for its devices to aid sleep apnea. However it also has a line of ventilators, which have now become their primary focus.“Our goal is to have 2 to 3 times or more of our global manufacturing capacity in a few weeks, then push beyond that,” said Mick Farrell, CEO of ResMed.Farrell says they began increasing production in January when the outbreak was spreading in China. They’ve now ramped up ventilator and ventilator mask production at all of their facilities. Farrell would not say how many they will be able to provide to American hospitals but said they have been in conversation with the federal government and other suppliers to meet the challenge. “We think between us and our competitors we can keep up on the demand that is needed for ventilators,” said Farrell. On Wednesday, San Diego County health officials said half of the region’s ventilators were currently being used but more were on the way. However, they did not provide specific numbers on how many were available. When asked if he thinks there will be enough, Rob Sills with the county’s medical operations center said, “We don’t know what the final number is going to be, we don’t know how many we are going to need. It is our desire to have enough to judiciously put in place systems so that we can distribute ventilators where they are most needed.” 1488

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) — Amid high demand for sanitizer, several San Diego distilleries are changing their production process to lend a hand.Distillers like Oceanside's Pacific Coast Spirits, and Cutwater Spirits and Malahat Spirits in Miramar are changing their production output to sanitizer to help address the local shortage."This doesn't impact production too much as it is alcohol based and is similar to running any 'batch' of spirits," says Nicole Hammond, of Pacific Coast Spirits. LISTINGS: Who is open for business in San Diego during stay-at-home orderThe FDA has given approval for facilities able to produce alcohol-based sanitizer to do so, providing a recommended formula approved by the World Health Organization (WHO). "It just takes hours on the still ... we can produce four big barrels daily," Hammond added. She says the distillery is working with local corporations to fulfill orders and, if demand becomes too great, could look to partner with other distilleries.RELATED: San Diego hospitals start drives for personal protective equipmentKen Lee, partner at Malahat Spirits, says the distillery is currently changing its production to create hand sanitizer and has already started to run test batches per WHO recommendations."We have already run some test batches per the specifications of the WHO and look forward to getting some out to our community soon to help out with our county’s current needs," Lee said. "The turnaround is relatively quick since we already make the alcohol in house."RELATED: Another San Diego company seeks FDA approval for COVID-19 vaccineNext week, Cutwater Spirits will start donating their first batches of 80 percent alcohol sanitizer to non-profits within San Diego County, including at the San Diego Food Bank. "In response to the COVID crisis, we are leveraging our production resources to make an ethanol and glycerin-based sanitizer that we will donate to local non-profits including the San Diego Food Bank, our Miramar neighbors," said Shreyas Balakrishnan, general manager of Cutwater Spirits.Cutwater will also launch campaign supporting the food bank's virtual food drive next week.Vista's Misadventure & Co. distillery has also switched production to make hand sanitizer, with plans to distribute nationally.“Last week, our business in our Vista distillery and tasting room screeched to a halt. To survive we needed to change rapidly,” said Whit Rigali, co-founder of Misadventure Vodka. “Because of our still and industry expertise, we were uniquely positioned to pivot and adapt. To help meet the public’s need in this difficult time, within one week, we were able to produce alcohol for hand sanitizer, bottle it, build a retail website, and ship out over 20,000 bottles of sanitizer to both consumers and wholesalers."The company is working to fill large orders from clinics, hospitals, veterans’ groups, and local governments. 2904

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) -- An executive order signed by President Trump Wednesday may help San Diego's military spouses find work. The executive order is aimed at increasing opportunities for military spouses to obtain federal jobs.The order encourages agencies to increase use of the noncompetitive hiring authority for military spouses.For military spouses, the unemployment rate is 16 percent which is four times higher than the national average for female adults. Among military spouses who do have jobs, 14 percent have part-time jobs and half of those spouses want full-time work.Many spouses of military members choose careers like teaching, nursing or law, but such jobs often have state-specific licenses that make it difficult to move from state to state.“Right now I’m looking at leaving my career because the exams and licensing costs are phenomenal never mind how poorly the education system is run; right from resources to teacher pay,” Sheryl Ogle said in a Facebook comment.According to an impact study conducted by the San Diego Military Advisory Council, there are more than 100,000 active-duty military members in San Diego. The service members are split fairly evenly between the Navy and Marines.In a phone call Wednesday morning, a White House official says the new order directs agencies to make an existing non-competitive hiring authority provision for military spouses available in their job announcements, according to Military.com. The hiring authority allows military spouses to be appointed to certain jobs without having to go through the usual hiring process.According to dosomething.org, military spouses tend to be under 35 and are mostly women with only five percent of military spouses being men.Data also shows that military families relocate 10 times more often than civilian families, moving an average of every two to three years. 1886