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The Federal Reserve is poised to cut interest rates on Wednesday for the first time since the 2008 financial crisis to extend the longest economic expansion in US history.The move would come despite a strong US economy. But some cracks are beginning to show: The global economy is softening, American manufacturing is slowing, and the global trade war isn't helping matters.But a potential rate cut would also follow months of pressure from President Donald Trump, who has broken with his predecessors' practice of walling off the central bank from politics.Jerome Powell, the chairman of the world's most influential central bank, has repeatedly pledged to follow economic data, and policymakers have become increasingly worried that uncertainty, caused in part by the President's trade wars with China and other countries, will hamper global growth and dampen investment."We are carefully monitoring these developments and assessing their implications for the US economic outlook and inflation, and will act as appropriate to sustain the expansion," Powell reiterated in remarks delivered at a French government conference in Paris on July 16.Even before the central bank signaled the possibility last month, investors had already priced in a reduction in the federal funds rate, which influences the cost of mortgages, credits cards and other borrowing. Those expectations piled on additional pressure on the Fed to move at this week's meeting to avoid rattling markets with an abrupt change in course.The Fed chairman has brushed off such pressures -- political or otherwise -- arguing the Fed is "insulated" from such demands as an independent institution outside of the control of the White House and whose decisions are informed by incoming economic data.The Fed last raised rates in December but has backed off plans for further tightening.In June, Powell began to make the case that the Fed, like other central banks, around the world needed to act earlier to get ahead of any economic weakness especially given how low interest rates currently are -- a reversal from his previous stance."If you see weakness, it's better to come in earlier rather than later," Powell said at an appearance before the Council on Foreign Relations in New York. "I think most central banks would want to act preemptively and let a downturn gather steam, in a sense, the thought being an ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure."That message has been echoed by other top officials, including Federal Reserve Bank President William Dudley.Efforts by the Fed to prevent an economic downturn is unlikely to win a reprieve from the White House. A day before policymakers were set to gather for their two-day interest-setting meeting in Washington this week, Trump chastised the Fed for making "all the wrong moves," adding, "a small rate cut is not enough."Trump has kept up a year-long relentless attacks against the Fed, often lamenting he regrets appointing Powell for the role, and going so far as to threaten to fire him. He's called the central bank his "biggest threat" and accused them of behaving like a "stubborn child" for refusing to cut rates and keeping credit too tight.It will be up to Powell during his now-routine press conference to justify the decision to plow ahead with a rate cut given some prevailing strength in the economy. Since their last meeting in June, the data has consistently surprised to the upside with stronger-than-expected job gains, retail sales and economic growth in the second quarter.Wall Street analysts also suggest Friday's upcoming jobs numbers will also be an important economic milestone that will determine whether a further rate hike may be coming as early as September as some anticipate."Expect an overall strong report, eroding the case for further cuts, but given the strong easing bias of Fed leaders, much depends on exactly how strong the report is and how they adjust their messaging in response," Josh Wright, iCIMS' chief economist and former Fed staffer said. "'One and done' still seems like an economically justifiable outcome." 4095

The driver accused of ramming into dozens of people on the Las Vegas Strip in 2015 talks to @KTNV. Lakeisha Halloway says she’s remembers “glimps” of that night and is truly sorry. Story at 5pm/6pm. pic.twitter.com/VpQrtoGmRD— Cinthia Maldonado (@CinthiaKtnv) March 21, 2019 286

The Department of Homeland Security has suspended all flights between the U.S. and Venezuela.Acting Secretary of Homeland Security Kevin McAleenan determined that conditions in Venezuela threaten the safety and security of passengers, aircraft, and crew, requiring an immediate suspension of all commercial passenger and cargo flights between the United States and Venezuela. The Secretary of State has approved flight suspension and the Secretary of Transportation has implemented the determination.The move is based on ongoing political instability and increased tensions in the country, and associated inadvertent risk to flight operations, a press release said.According to DHS, if and when the conditions in Venezuela change, and if in the public interest, the Secretaries will revisit this determination. Until then, the flight suspension will remain in effect indefinitely. 892

The mad scramble between Thanksgiving and Christmas just got six days shorter.Black Friday once again kicks off the start of the holiday shopping season. But with six fewer days than last year, it will be the shortest season since 2013 because Thanksgiving fell on the fourth Thursday in November — the latest possible date it could be. That means customers will have less time to shop and retailers will have less time to woo them.Adobe Analytics predicts a loss of billion in online revenue from a shortened season. Still, it expects online sales will reach 3.7 billion, up 14.1% from last year’s holiday seasonThe National Retail Federation, the nation’s largest retail trade group, baked the shorter season into its forecast, but it says the real drivers will be the job market. It forecasts that holiday sales will rise between 3.8% and 4.2%, an increase from the disappointing 2.1% growth seen in the November and December 2018 period that came well short of the group’s prediction.Last year’s holiday sales were hurt by turmoil over the White House trade policy with China and a delay in data collection by nearly a month because of a government shutdown. This year’s holiday forecast is above the average holiday sales growth of 3.7% over the previous five years.NRF expects online and other non-store sales, which are included in the total, to increase between 11% and 14%, for the holiday period.Black Friday is expected to once again be the largest shopping day of the season, followed by the last Saturday before Christmas, according to MasterCard SpendingPulse, which tracks spending across all types of payments including cash and check. Thanksgiving Day isn’t even on the top 10 holiday shopping days, according to MasterCard.The 2019 holiday season will be a good measure of the U.S. economy’s health. Many retail CEOs describe their customers has financially healthy, citing moderate wage growth and an unemployment rate hovering near a 50-year low.“The overall picture is positive,” said Craig Johnson, president of Customer Growth Partners, a retail consultancy. “People are spending out of positive cash flow as opposed to borrowing.”Economic growth has moderated since earlier this year, with growth at just 1.9% in the July-September quarter, down from 3.1% in the first three months of the year. Analysts blame at least part of that on the U.S.-China trade war, which has forced many companies to delay plans to invest and expand.That’s left consumers as the main drivers. So far, Americans have kept up their spending, allaying fears of a recession.With more holiday deals happening earlier to compensate for the late start, many have already started to shop. More than half of consumers have already started their holiday shopping and nearly a quarter of purchases have already been made, according to the annual survey released by the NRF and Prosper Insights & Analytics. The survey of 7,917 adult consumers was conducted Oct. 31 through Nov. 6.“This is further evidence that the holiday season has grown far beyond the period between Thanksgiving and Christmas,” said Matthew Shay, president and CEO of NRF, in a statement. 3173

The Department of Justice informed the House Oversight Committee on Wednesday that President Donald Trump has asserted executive privilege over materials related to the addition of a citizenship question to the 2020 census.The move comes ahead of a vote in the committee about whether to hold Attorney General William Barr and Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross in contempt of Congress over a dispute related to the census and for not complying with subpoenas issued by the committee.In a letter to Committee Chair Elijah Cummings, Assistant Attorney General Stephen Boyd 580