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BEIJING, Dec. 29 (Xinhua) -- China's gross domestic product (GDP) is predicted to grow by around 9.5 percent in 2011, 0.5 percentage points lower compared to the growth rate expected for this year, said a report issued Wednesday by the Bank of China (BOC).The report by the BOC, China's third largest lender, was based on the bank's projections of weak overseas demand, tighter monetary policy, and the government's planned economic restructuring for 2011, the first year of China's 12th five-year plan.The Chinese government announced in early December that it will switch its monetary policy stance from relatively loose to prudent next year to tackle rising inflation and keep economic growth at a sustainable pace.The report also said government policies this year to curb soaring property prices in some major cities, and the country's efforts to improve energy efficiency had slowed the economy with the GDP dropping to 9.6 percent in the third quarter, down from the second quarter's 10.3 percent and 11.9 percent in the first quarter.The report also forecast inflation to rise 4 percent in 2011, compared to the 3.3-percent rise expected for 2010. It said that in the second half of the year, the producer price index (PPI) for China's industrial products had kept rising along with the consumer price index (CPI), adding more inflationary pressure for the future.The Chinese government set a 3-percent target for inflation this year, but looks unachieveable after the index rose 3.2 percent during the first 11 months. Pushed up mainly by rising food prices, the index soared 5.1 percent in November to a 28-month high.The report also predicted new lending next year would be 7 trillion yuan (1.06 trillion U.S. dollars), just slightly down from the 7.5 trillion yuan target set by the government for 2010.Growth rates of retail sales of consumer goods and industrial value-added output would see a slight drop from year 2010, while imports would likely grow by 18 percent, 3 percentage points higher than exports.As inflation triggers wider public concerns, expectations for more hikes in interest rates are strengthening. The report forecast the People's Bank of China, the central bank, would likely hike rates for up to three times next year, mostly during the first half of the year.The central bank on Sunday raised the benchmark one-year lending and deposit rates by 25 basis points for the second time in just over two months. It had also set higher commercial lenders' reserve requirement ratio six times this year in a move to tighten liquidity amid climbing inflation.
BEIJING, Dec. 25 (Xinhua) -- China 's central bank announced Saturday that it will raise the one-year lending and deposit interest rate for the second time this year, as the government continues its battle against surging prices.The People's Bank of China (PBOC) said in a statement posted on its website that it will hike the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points beginning Sunday, which raised the one-year lending rate to 5.81 percent and one-year deposit rate to 2.75 percent.The PBOC increased the benchmark lending and deposit rates by 25 basis points on Oct. 20, which was the first increase in nearly three years.The rate hike came after the central bank vice governor, Hu Xiaolian, said Friday that China would bring its overall money supply to a normal level using various policy tools, as the government shifts monetary policy from "moderately loose" to "prudent" to rein in rising inflationary pressures and curb asset bubbles.Photo taken on Nov. 18, 2010 shows a teller counting the Renminbi at a bank in Qionghai City, south China's Hainan Province. China's central bank will raise the one-year lending and deposit interests rate by 25 basis points from Dec. 26, 2010, according to a statement posted on the website of the People's Bank of China Saturday.The country's consumer price index (CPI), a main gauge of inflation, accelerated to a 28-month high in November of 5.1 percent, while new loans reached 7.45 trillion yuan in the first 11 months of this year, compared to the government's full-year target of 7.5 trillion yuan.A recent PBOC survey also showed that the proportion of Chinese citizens satisfied with the current price level had sunk to an 11-year low, and only 17.3 percent of the consumers said they intended to consume more in the future.Rising prices have prompted the government to take measures to rein in the hikes, including boosting supplies and providing financial aid to the needy.Li Daokui, a member of the monetary policy committee with the PBOC, said the rate hike mainly aimed at managing inflationary expectations and reflected the policy shift, as tightening the money supply is the best way to curb inflation.The rate increase came "at the right time", as western countries are celebrating the Christmas holiday, to avoid overreaction from the global markets, Li added.Besides interest rate hikes, China had increased the bank reserve requirement ratio six times in 2010 to 18.5 percent and 19 percent for some large commercial banks."The decision was made in consideration of China's economic condition next year," said Lian Ping, chief economist with the Bank of Communications, the country's fifth largest lender, who described fighting inflation as the central bank's primary task at present.Lian expected inflation to continue to go up in the first quarter next year due to rises both in demand and cost, as well as other influences from the external market.His views were echoed by Zhuang Jian, chief economist with the Asian Development Bank, who also attributed rising inflation to holiday seasons and the extreme winter weather.Observers believe that further rate hikes are to be expected since solving inflation and liquidity pressure at the same time is considered a difficult task."You cannot expect one or two rate rises to have a significant impact on economic indicators," said Zuo Xiaolei, chief economist with Galaxy Securities.However, Lian said China only has room for two or three rate hikes, as higher interest rates would increase risks of "hot money" inflows due to a widening interest margin between China and the United States, which is likely to keep rates low.Li Daokui also attributed the timing of the rate increase to avoiding rapid capital inflows.But currently the factors that decides the direction of capital flows are currency exchange rates and assets prices, Lian added.UBS Securities economist Wang Tao said last month that she expected the central bank to raise the interest rate by 25 basis points before the end of the year and by another 75 basis points in 2011.China's economy grew 9.6 percent year on year in the third quarter this year, slowing from the 10.3 percent increase in the second quarter and 11.9 percent in the first quarter.The country targets about a 3 percent inflation rate in 2010.
BEIJING, Jan. 19 (Xinhua) -- Chinese Vice Premier Li Keqiang Wednesday urged advancing the nation's health care reforms against all odds in 2011.Li, who heads the State council's leading group on health care reforms, made the remarks while presiding over the eighth plenum of the group.The meeting discussed work agendas in 2011, plans for piloting public hospital reforms, guidelines on training General Practitioners (GP) and other topics.Li said health care reforms had made great headway since they were launched one year ago, and people had received tangible benefits from the reforms. China should press ahead, against all odds, with the reforms.Chinese Vice Premier Li Keqiang (C) speaks at the eighth plenary of the State Council's leading group on health care reforms in Beijing, capital of China, Jan. 18, 2011. Li called for advancing the country's medical reforms against all odds during the meeting held in the capital city on Tuesday. Li urged improving the health insurance system so that people with major diseases would receive better financial protection.Also, Li stressed streamlining the centralized procurement and distribution of essential medicines so that the medicine system covered most government-sponsored grass-roots health institutions.China began implementing the essential medicine system in 2009 in a bid to reduce costs for patients. Essential medicines are heavily subsidized so hospitals can sell them at their cost.Further, Li urged training grass-roots medical personnel, and staff the nation's 50,000 grass-roots medical institutions with a certain number of GPs so patients would have easier access to medical services.In the public hospital reforms, Li said priority should be given to county-level hospitals that served 900 million people. Capacity building of county-level hospitals was pivotal to improve the affordability and accessibility of medical services.
BEIJING, Nov. 25 (Xinhua) -- China's central bank warned about the risk of credit card related bad debt on Thursday as money owed 180 days past the due date was on the rise in the third quarter.Credit cards debt 180 days past the due repayment date stood at 7.92 billion yuan (1.19 billion U.S. dollars) by the end of the third quarter, up 8.5 percent from the second quarter, according to a statement released Thursday on the website of the People's Bank of China.Taking this into account, the central bank warned commercial banks to pay close attention to risks associated with credit card related bad debt.Money owed 180 days past the due repayment date accounted for 2.1 percent of the total amount of debt by the end of the third quarter, down 0.4 percentage point from the second quarter, according to the statement.
BEIJING, Jan. 12 (Xinhua) -- The Chinese government welcomes and supports the activities of overseas non-governmental organizations (NGO) in the country, said Assistant Foreign Minister Cheng Guoping here on Wednesday.Addressing a new year reception held by the Chinese Foreign Ministry for NGOs, Cheng appreciated the contribution of overseas NGOs in promoting China's economic and social development, as well as the country's exchanges with the world.He also hopes overseas NGOs to enhance understanding about China's national conditions, and abide by China's laws and regulations.About 130 representatives from overseas NGOs, foreign embassies in China and academic organizations, as well as Chinese officials from relevant departments joined the reception, the first held by the Foreign Ministry for NGOs.