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BEIJING, Aug. 8 -- China's consumer inflation may continue to decline in July, marking the second consecutive month this year that it has dropped, according to economists' estimates. That may mean a departure from the rising spiral of inflation after it peaked at an annualized 8.7 percent in February. Lehman Brothers economist Sun Mingchun said his team's research found the July consumer price index (CPI), the main barometer of inflation, may drop to 6.7 percent year-on-year from 7.1 percent in June. The domestic Bank of Communications research arm said the figure could fall at 6.4 percent, which is also the estimate of Southwest Securities. China's consumer inflation may continue to decline in July, marking the second consecutive month this year that it has dropped, according to economists' estimates. One of the reasons why prices are stable is that there has been no flooding, a regular feature of the rainy seaon, said Sun of Lehman Brothers. Daily price data from the Ministry of Agriculture and the National Development and Reform Commission show that agricultural product prices rose only slightly in July while meat prices fell. Weekly price data released by the Ministry of Commerce also showed a moderate decline in food prices. The relatively high statistical base of last July also contributed to the drop in inflation this July, said Guo Tianyong, economist with the Central University of Finance and Economics. China's CPI hit 5.6 percent year-on-year last July, the first time it reached the 5-percent level that year. "If no major natural disaster hits China in August, CPI could fall below 6 percent in August, providing more room for the government to remove its price controls," said Sun. Economists said that without many unexpected incidence, it will gradually ease to around 5 percent by the year-end. A possible price liberalization of oil products, however, should not be a one-off adjustment, which will put a huge pressure on the country's battle against inflation, Guo said. China raised the prices of oil products and electricity late June. Analysts said that once the inflation pressure eases, policymakers may start a second round of price liberalization, which may lead to a rebound in CPI. If such liberalization moves are indeed made, they should be done in phases, not in one go, said Guo. Only that will ensure inflation does not peak again, as it did in February. The pressure from the rising producer price index (PPI), which gauges ex-factory prices and influences CPI, may be a concern, but even taking into consideration its impact, consumer inflation may no longer exceed the February peak in the coming months and the first half of next year "The worst times are behind us," said Dong Xianan, macroeconomic analyst with Southwest Securities. "From the second half of last year, the tightenting stance had been obvious, which is a pre-emptive move to ensure the current easing of inflation." Macroeconomic growth The economic growth may gradually slow down in the rest of the year, analysts said, but the fine-tuning of policies would shore it up. Dong from Southwest Securities forecasts that given the current growth momentum, the whole-year figure for GDP growth may be 10.1 percent, well below the 11.9 percent of last year. Other estimates are around the 10 percent mark. The global economic slow-down, which reduces external demand for China's exports, will bring much trouble to China, but its domestic consumption and investment will remain stable, analysts said. More importantly, the central authorities may adjust its tight policies to cater to individual demand of regions and sectors that have found it difficult to survive the tightened policies.
WASHINGTON, Oct. 11 (Xinhua) -- Deputy Governor of the People's Bank of China Yi Gang called for international cooperation here on Saturday to restore global financial stability. "Our current priority is to enhance international cooperation to prevent further deterioration and spillover of the crisis and restore global economic and financial stability," Yi said. The deepening and widening of the U.S. financial crisis have triggered a major global slowdown and escalating uncertainty, Yi Gang said in a statement at the 18th meeting of the International Monetary and Financial Committee (IMFC) held here Saturday. While the advanced economies have slowed significantly since the U.S. sub-prime crisis, the emerging market economies have maintained robust growth but the deteriorating external environment is putting the resilience of their macroeconomic policies to the test, he said. The crisis has underscored shortcomings in the financial markets, Yi said. He expressed his hope that the stabilizing measures of the advanced economies will have the positive effect of calming the markets and restoring confidence. "China is willing to strengthen its cooperation with other countries and, through such joint efforts, we hope global financial stability can be safeguarded," he said. In line with their status, Yi said, the major reserve currency issuing countries should shoulder the responsibility for preventing further spillovers and minimizing shocks to other economies -- especially to the emerging markets. To promote balanced and steady global growth over the longer term, efforts should be made to advance structural reforms and increase savings, he pointed out. The International Monetary Fund -- at the core of the international monetary system -- should carry out its mandate to safeguard global economic and financial stability, he said. The IMFC is the steering committee of the 185-nation lending institution. Yi also noted that as the impact of the crisis on the real economy is much worse than expected and the recovery more protracted and difficult, the risks of deflation in some countries as a result of the credit crunch have increased significantly. "It is imperative that the major advanced economies coordinate rapid implementation of bailout packages to avoid deflation and facilitate the global recovery," said Yi. "However, we should be aware that the injection of liquidity from these emergency measures could be a potential source of inflation in the medium and long term," the deputy governor said.

NANNING, April 1 (Xinhua) -- South China's Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region became the 10th Chinese locality to have replaced gasoline and diesel oil with bio-ethanol fuel on Tuesday out of environmental and energy efficiency concerns. Petrol stations in all the 14 cities of Guangxi began to sell bio-ethanol fuel on Tuesday and in two weeks, traditional petrol and diesel oil will be phased out, said Fu Jian, an official in charge of transport with the regional government. Fu said about 350,000 motor vehicles and more than 3 million motorbikes will have their tanks cleaned up for the fuel change. Presently nine other Chinese provinces are using ethanol fuel including Jilin, Liaoning and Heilongjiang provinces in the northeast, Henan and Hebei provinces in the north, Anhui, Shandongand Jiangsu provinces in the east and the central Hubei Province. Guangxi is the first Chinese locality to commercially produce ethanol fuel with cassava instead of grain. The region produces 7.8 million tonnes of cassava a year, more than 60 percent of China's total. It is home to China's first bio-ethanol fuel production base that went into operation in December in the coastal city of Beihai. The base is designed to produce 200,000 tonnes of biofuel annually out of about 1.5 million tonnes of cassava. China banned the use of grain for ethanol production last year to ensure sufficient food supplies, and biofuel manufacturers havesince turned to sweet potatoes, sorghum and straw stalks instead. Ethanol fuel is believed to help ease China's energy supply bottleneck. Customs statistics say China's net crude oil import climbed at least 12 percent year on year to reach 160 million tonnes in 2007, and the country's reliance on crude oil import is at least 46 percent. It is also believed to help cut carbon monoxide and carbon dioxide emissions, by around 30 percent and 10 percent respectively. Chinese officials said the country's ethanol fuel sales will reach 30 million tonnes in 2010 to make up half of the total gasoline supplies.
YINCHUAN, Sept. 22 (Xinhua) -- Delegates from China's central government presented a gift to Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region for the 50th anniversary of its founding. At a ceremony held in the region's capital Yinchuan on Monday, senior official He Guoqiang delivered a Chinese Ding. That's a three-legged ancient cooking vessel, which represents solidification between Han and Hui nationalities. The present has been signed by China's President Hu Jintao. A delegation from the central government on Monday arrived in Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region in northwest China, where most residents are muslims, to mark the anniversary. He, head of the delegation and member of the Standing Committee of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee, together with the region's Party chief Chen Jianguo unveiled the present atthe square of Ningxia Museum. Chinese Vice Premier Hui Liangyu delivers a speech at an awarding ceremony in Yinchuan, capital of northwest China's Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region, on Sept. 22, 2008. Central government officials also attended a rewarding ceremony where model individuals and organizations, who had made great contributions to the peace and solidification of the region, were given honors. Hui Liangyu, deputy head of the delegation, praised the achievements those honored and urged them to help more people lead a better live. The autonomous region, covering about 66,000 square kilometers, was set up on Oct. 25, 1958. It has a population of 6.1 million, of whom 2.17 million, or 35.57 percent, are of the Hui ethnic group.
BEIJING, Aug. 18 (Xinhua) -- Wu Bangguo, chairman of the Standing Committee of the National People's Congress (NPC), met on Monday with some foreign leaders here to watch the Beijing Olympic Games. In his meeting with Ranko Krivokapic, the Republic of Montenegro parliament speaker, Wu said China advocated all nations, big or small, rich or poor, as equal members of the international community. Wu Bangguo (1st R), chairman of the Standing Committee of the National People's Congress (NPC), meets with Ranko Krivokapic (1st L), the Republic of Montenegro parliament speaker, in Beijing, China, Aug. 18, 2008. Ranko Krivokapic is here to watch the Beijing Olympic GamesChina valued its ties with Montenegro and would develop a long-term, stable and all-round relationship, as well as sound legislative cooperation with the Balkan country, he said. Krivokapic said the Montenegro parliament would enhance its cooperation with the NPC and adhere to the one-China policy. Wu Bangguo (R), chairman of the Standing Committee of the National People's Congress (NPC), meets with Abdelaziz Ziari, speaker of the Algerian parliament, in Beijing, China, Aug. 18, 2008. Abdelaziz Ziari is here to watch the Beijing Olympic Games. When meeting with Abdelaziz (Abdul-Aziz) Ziari, speaker of the Algerian parliament, Wu said the Olympics was going on smoothly, and China would honor its commitment to hold an unique and high-standard Games with distinctive features. He pledged to take the opportunity of the 50th anniversary of China-Algeria ties in the coming year to push forward the cooperation of mutual benefit. Ziari said the well-organized Olympic Games impressed him and demonstrated what China had achieved in its reform and opening-up drive. The Algerian parliament would further exchanges with the NPC. Wu Bangguo (R), chairman of the Standing Committee of the National People's Congress (NPC), meets with Kono Yohei, speaker of the House of Representatives of Japan's Diet, in Beijing, China, Aug. 18, 2008. Kono Yohei is here to watch the Beijing Olympic Games.When meeting with Kono Yohei, speaker of the House of Representatives of Japan's Diet, Wu said Sino-Japanese relations were at a new start in history and had great potential for further development. He recalled the Japanese trip by Chinese leader Hu Jintao in May which outlined the future development of the bilateral ties. He said the NPC would promote cooperation with the Japanese house of representatives through the regular exchange mechanism to push forward the strategic and reciprocal relations between the two countries. Wu expressed gratitude for Japan's support to the Beijing Games. Kono said the Japanese house would play a positive role in upgrading the relationship between the two countries.
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