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The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation has published projections on just how the onslaught of COVID-19 cases are expected to impact the nation and all 50 states in the coming weeks. The data, which the White House has used to help advise President Donald Trump and members of the coronavirus task force, is dubbed the "Chris Murray Model." The Chris Murray Model is made available through the University of Washington website. It is updated every morning based on testing from around the country.Dr. Debroah Birx, a member of the White House coronavirus task force, said that the data is consistent with projections used from 12 other sources the White House has relied on to model its COVID-19 projections. "We’ve reviewed 12 different models, and then we went back to the drawing board over the last week or two, and worked from the ground up utilizing actual reporting of cases," Birx said in a White House briefing on Sunday. "It’s the way we built the HIV model, the TB model, and the malaria model. When we finished, the other group that was working in parallel which we didn’t know about, (Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation) and Chris Murray, ended up at the same numbers. So if you go on his website, you can see the concern that we had with the growing number of potential fatalities.” As of Tuesday, the Chris Murray Model projects that the United States would see a peak demand of ICU visits around April 11 and hospitalizations on April 15. The data also projects that the national peak of deaths per day would come around April 15. Unfortunately, the data suggests that the demand in most states will far exceed the supply for ICU beds. In New York, the number of patients requiring an ICU bed will exceed the supply of such beds by 12 times, based on the projection. In Louisiana, the demand for ICU beds is expected to be three times the supply. The Chris Murray Model does offer some optimism that the United States will successfully "flatten the curve." Only a handful of states are expected to have a shortage of overall hospital beds. It also shows that numbers in most states will begin to tail off by early May, although some states, such as Virginia, could still be dealing with a number of cases well into June. The model also assumes that every state will maintain social distancing guidelines through the duration of the epidemic, which offers a key variable on how the numbers could change. The Chris Murray Model does have a slightly more optimistic outlook on the number of fatalities compared to official White House figures. The Chris Murray Model projects a death toll of nearly 84,000 COVID-19-related deaths into the summer, giving an overall projected range of nearly 36,000 to 154,000. The White House said on Tuesday that it is projecting a national death toll of 100,000 to 240,000. The projection shows that as many Americans will die from COVID-19 in April compared to an entire high-end flu season, even with social distancing guidelines in place. Click 3025

The Federal Reserve cut interest rates for the third time this year as the US economy continued slowing amid ongoing trade disputes and weak global growth.The federal funds rate, which affects the cost of mortgages, credit cards and other borrowing, will now hover between 1.5% and 1.75%.It isn't clear whether the move will be enough to head off another rate cut in December, the final meeting of the year. Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell is set to speak at a press conference later Wednesday afternoon. 523

The city of Fresno doesn’t fit the California stereotype; it can be a tough city that raises tough kids. Kids like Jose Flores. “A lot of the violence around here, the drugs,” Flores says. Flores attends Duncan Polytechnical High School, and he’s on the welding track. All the students at Duncan are enrolled in a Career Technical Education. “We know that this is what our community needs, and frankly, this is what our community wants," said Jeremy Ward, who runs the College & Career Readiness program for Fresno Unified School District. "Jobs related to college really only speaks to a portion of the jobs that exist in the United States today. There are many skilled professions that are very well paid that have nothing to do with going to college." But it’s not just students at Duncan. Almost half of the students in Fresno are enrolled in CTE programs. The district thinks it’s one of the best ways to prepare students, who may not go to college, for some other real-world opportunities. “Students that are engaged in career technical education, there’s a heavy amount of data that shows that there’s a higher degree of graduation and that there’s a higher degree of post-secondary success, because of the experience they have by participating in a CTE program,” said Ward. At Duncan, students can enroll in welding, truck tech, manufacturing, and even nursing. “They are in a CNA program, by the time they graduate, they’ll have the requirements they need to take their state competency evaluation exam,” said Jodi Uyeg, a nursing teacher. “We get to work with real residents and practice the skills that we’ve learned here there; that way we’re ready for our CNA test in May,” said Evelyn Gamble, a nursing student. The idea is that these CTE programs give students a ton of options to join the workforce or go to college. Options they might need as rural areas like Fresno keep recovering from the recession. Just ask Ashley Swearingen, the former mayor of Fresno. “We went through as the city of Fresno, five years of consistent budget cuts," Swearengin said. "In some years, we were doing two or three budgets a year just to try and keep up with plummeting revenues, and of course, expenses were still going up." Swearingen has been working hard to try and help the area recover, but it hasn’t been easy. “We’ve struggled for a long time," said Swearingen. "I mean, this is a place that’s had chronic, double-digit unemployment for literally 30 to 40 years.” But schools like Duncan give kids in more rural areas a way to earn a good living or continue their education. For Flores, this opportunity was a big deal. “Growing up a lot of friends being killed a lot of gang violence,” said Flores. He’s been to more than a few funerals for friends his own age. “A lot of middle school friends that you know we were close, but we all went to different high schools," said Flores. "They all started doing their own things and even a couple of them are dead now, you know? It’s sad to say but that’s the life the chose. You think I’m going to know these people 30 years down the line and you know, it’s over right there." But he credits his family and the opportunities he’s had to keep him off the streets and alive. “Being around a lot of those people, it’s drags you in there,” he said. Instead, his future and Fresno’s is bright. 3372

The deaths of an American couple who became ill while vacationing in Fiji late last month are being investigated by health officials on the South Pacific Island, with help from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, authorities said Tuesday.Texas residents David and Michelle Paul arrived in Fiji on May 22, Fiji's Ministry of Health and Medical Services said in a statement. They were on holiday in the country's Western Division."Although they were provided medical treatment as standard of care, their illnesses progressively worsened and despite best efforts, they died within a few days of each other," the statement said.Fiji's Ministry of Health said investigations into the cause of death are ongoing, but added that influenza has been ruled out."And at this stage we do not believe there is any risk to the public. It would be premature to speculate further on the cause of death until the investigation is complete," the ministry of health said."Monitoring of the small number of staff and health workers who came into close contact with the deceased couple was conducted, and as a precaution remains ongoing. All are currently well."Sailasa Misimisi of Zens Medical Centre told CNN that the facility treated the couple."They entered in the morning, complaining of diarrhea and vomiting. They were observed for two or three hours. They were well under physical and medical parameters. Michelle received a saline IV. They wanted to go home. They were released," he said by phone.He confirmed they came back later, but did not provide additional details.David Paul worked for Lockheed Martin as a sustainment group engineer, according to company spokesman Kenneth Ross.The deaths were confirmed by a US State Department official, who said in a statement that American authorities were "closely monitoring" the investigation."CDC has received a request for assistance from the Ministry of Health in Fiji regarding the death of an American couple in Fiji of an unidentified illness," the CDC said in a statement."CDC is working with the government to investigate, including receiving specimens for testing in CDC laboratories. As per protocol, we will share results with the Fiji Ministry of Health when available."Fiji's health ministry said it was also working with the country's police forensics department and the World Health Organization to determine the cause of death. The couple died over the Memorial Day weekend, the Fort Worth Star-Telegram reported. 2492

The European Union is suspending Boeing 737 MAX flights in Europe, joining a list of governments temporarily grounding the aircraft following Sunday's fatal plane crash in Ethiopia.The EU's suspension, covering 737 MAX 8 and 737 MAX 9 planes, was set to begin at 7 p.m. UTC (3 p.m. ET) Tuesday.The move came as a raft of nations -- including many individual European countries -- introduced temporary suspensions Tuesday for 737 MAX aircraft after a MAX 8 flight from Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, to Nairobi, Kenya, crashed Sunday into a field six minutes after takeoff, killing all 157 people on board. The flight reported technical problems and asked for permission to turn back before it crashed, and investigations are underway into the cause.It's the second time in less than six months that this model has crashed soon after takeoff. A new Lion Air Boeing 737 MAX 8 flight went down in October over the Java Sea off Indonesia, killing 189 people.Before the EU's announcement, other nations and aviation authorities announced their own bans Tuesday, including Australia, Austria, Belgium, France, Germany, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Malaysia, the Netherlands, Oman, Singapore, Turkey and the UK.The UK, Oman, Singapore, Australia, Ireland and France and Norwegian Airlines suspended the whole Boeing 737 MAX range.China, Indonesia, Malaysia, Iceland, Germany and the airlines LOT Polish, TUI Airways, GOL Linhas Aereas, Aeromexico, Aerolíneas Argentinas, Cayman Airways, Comair Airways, Eastar Jet, Jet Airways, Mongolian Airlines, China Airlines, China Eastern, China Southern, Lion Air and Silkair have suspended the MAX 8 model. Turkey suspended MAX 8 and 9 models.These airlines are still flying 737 MAX planes: American and Southwest airlines, Fiji Airways, Icelandair, Flydubai, Spicejet and WestJet.China's aviation administration became the first to order a suspension Monday evening, grounding all domestic Boeing 737 MAX 8 jets due to its principle of "zero tolerance for safety hazards."China has one of the world's largest fleets of Boeing 737 MAX 8, operating 97 of the planes, according to Chinese state-run media.While some international airlines and governments grounded the 737 MAX 8 planes, 2218