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BEIJING, June 29 -- Chinese listed banks, which have lent record high amounts in the first half, are likely to report lower profit growth in the period due to narrowing interest spreads and higher provisioning requirements, industry analysts said. "We are expecting a 7 to 8 percent year-on-year profit fall among the 14 listed banks in the first half-year," said Wang Liwen, banking analyst with Shanghai-based Guotai Junan Securities Co, citing stretched interest spreads as the major reason. In 2008, the net interest rate spread for banks ranged from 2.45 percentage points to 3.62 percentage points, with the average figure hovering around 3 percentage points. This year, as the government cut interest rates several times to spur economic growth amid the global financial crisis, the net interest rate spread is expected to be lower, at around 2.36 percentage points. Clients walk into the Suzhou branch of Bank of Ningbo in Suzhou, east China's Jiangsu Province, March 27, 2009.The bank, the first listed lender to file a mid-term report, said its first-half profits would drop nearly 5 percent from a year earlier "A drop of 0.7 percentage points in the average net interest rate spread could mean some 7-billion-yuan decrease in the interest yield for each trillion yuan of new loans," said Wang. Chinese banks extended a record 7.37 trillion yuan of new loans in the first half, triple the amount offered in the same period a year earlier and 47 percent more than the government's full-year target, after lending restrictions were eased in November to stem an economic slowdown. However, most securities firms' reports said the country's 14 listed banks might post an average profit decrease ranging from 6 percent to 10 percent year-on-year in the first six months. According to Wind Info, a financial data provider, the 14 listed banks reported a net profit of 232.7 billion yuan in the first half of 2008, an increase of 73 percent year-on-year. But this year, the net profit could probably stand at 210 billion yuan, down 10 percent on a yearly basis. Bank of Ningbo, for instance, on July 14 announced no more than a 5-percent decease in net profit in its pre-released semi-annual report to the Shenzhen bourse. It is the first Chinese listed bank to report a profit fall in the first half. Wang Yifeng, an analyst at TX Investment Consulting, said the improved provision coverage ratio requirement might also cripple profits at listed banks. To prevent potential risks arising from the lending spree, China Banking Regulatory Commission raised the minimum provision coverage ratio requirement to 150 percent from 130 percent earlier this year. "The increase will mainly eat into the profits of several large State-controlled banks as they are still not up to the new requirements," said Wang. But as the squeezed spreads bottom out in the second half, most analysts said listed banks would still post positive growth for the whole year. "Thanks to the widened interest rate spreads and lower loan cost in the following months, we are expecting a 10-percent growth in profits overall this year," said Liu Yinghua, an analyst with Shenzhen-based Ping An Securities.
BEIJING, Aug. 19 (Xinhua) -- Chinese top legislator Wu Bangguo met with a U.S. congress delegation led by Howard L. Berman, chairman of the House Foreign Affairs Committee, here on Wednesday. Wu, chairman of the Standing Committee of the National People's Congress (NPC), China's top legislature, spoke positively of the recent growth of the bilateral relations. Wu Bangguo (R), chairman of the Standing Committee of the National People's Congress, China's top legislature, shakes hands with U.S. House of Representatives Foreign Affairs Committee Chairman Howard Berman in Beijing, China, Aug. 19, 2009. He called on the NPC and U.S. congress to foster bilateral cooperation to a higher level with mutual trust, stressing the efforts will not only serve the fundamental interests of the two nations and two peoples, but also help maintain peace, stability and development in the world. China is ready to work with the United States, increase dialogues and exchanges, respect each other's concern and core interests to push ahead with the Sino-U.S. relations along the track of positive cooperation, Wu said. Berman said he was delighted to witness the growth momentum of bilateral ties, noting that the two nations and the two legislative bodies should work closer to intensify high level exchange. Berman also met with Chinese Vice Premier Wang Qishan earlier Wednesday. They exchanged views on the global economic downturn, and pledged to work together to help the world economy recovery at an early date.

PLOEN, Germany, Sept. 11 (Xinhua) -- The emissions cut target proposed by developed countries is "unfair" to developing countries, a Chinese expert said Friday. Pan Jiahua, executive director of the research centre for sustainable development of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, made the statement in an interview with Xinhua at the Global Economic Symposium (GES 2009) held in Ploen Castle, Schleswig-Holstein, Germany. Developed countries have proposed that the world should cut CO2emissions by 50 percent by 2050, with industrialized countries reducing their emissions by 80 percent. "An 80 percent emissions cut sounds good, when you first hear it. It shows a high profile by developed countries in dealing with climate change", said Pan. However, if developing countries accepted this target, there would be "nearly no space" left for further development in these countries. "At present, the annual per capita CO2 emission of developed countries is 15 tons. By 2050, if 80 percent were cut, the figure will be lowered to 3 tons," Pan said. "The current annual per capita CO2 emissions of developing countries does not reach 3 tons." "Developing countries have to cut emissions by at least 20 percent from the current level to 2.5 tons to reach the proposed target of a 50 percent decrease worldwide. That means, by 2050, the annual per capita CO2 emissions of developing countries will still be lower than developed countries." However, at present, most of developing countries were still undergoing industrialization and urbanization and more infrustructure construction was needed, which meant they had to increase CO2 emissions to keep their development at this stage, Pan said. Developed countries had already passed that period and they could keep regular development with a lower CO2 emission, Pan added. So they should take more responsibility in this respect, said Pan, noting that the proposal would seriously damage the development of developing countries. GES was first held in Ploen, Schleswig-Holstein, Germany in 2008. It aims to identify global challenges, examine their policy and business implications, and formulate concrete actions in response. GES 2009 attracted 351 politicians and experts from all over the world with its main topics including world financial regulation, climate change and global trade.
BEIJING, Aug. 21 -- China Mobile Thursday reported its first drop in net profit since 1999 because of rising competition from rivals China Telecom and China Unicom and its weak 3G performance. The world's biggest telco posted a net profit of 30.1 billion yuan (US.42 billion) in the second quarter, compared with 30.6 billion yuan a year ago. Analysts had previously forecast a net profit of 31.4 billion yuan for the period. "A macro-economic slowdown, a rising mobile communications penetration rate and changes in the competitive environment of the telecommunications industry in China have posed challenges to the development of the business in the first half," China Mobile said in a statement. In the first six months, China Mobile posted a net profit of 55.3 billion yuan, a 1.4 percent annual growth. Its revenue totaled 212.9 billion yuan, an 8.9 percent rise from a year ago. China Mobile's monthly average revenue per user, a key index of the industry to monitor a telco's profitability, was 75 yuan in the first half, about 10 percent less than a year ago. China Mobile added 35.87 million users in the first half to total 493 million by the end of June. The telco had 957,000 3G users since it started a trial 3G service in April. In the first half, China Mobile took 66 percent of the total new additional mobile users, compared with 85 percent a year ago, due to the "changed competitive landscape," the company said. "The gap between China Mobile and other rivals will become narrow but it will still dominate the market for about two years," said Wu Wenzhao, a telecommunications analyst of Analysys International. In January, China issued 3G licenses to China Mobile, China Unicom and China Telecom.
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