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SAN DIEGO (KGTV) — There could be as many as 78 million doses of COVID-19 vaccines available by the end of 2020, according to the most optimistic timeline in leaked documents from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.But assuming that the vaccine will require two doses per individual, that figure would only be enough to inoculate the highest priority individuals, based on draft guidelines released this week from the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine.“We’re not even going to get through Phase 1 people” in 2020, said Dr. Mary Barger, an epidemiologist at the University of San Diego.There are an estimated 44 million people in NASEM’S Phase 1 group: frontline healthcare workers, first responders, people with multiple high-risk factors, and adults living in nursing homes and other group settings.Based on leaked CDC guidance to states published by the New York Times, if two vaccine candidates become available in October, there would be enough doses for 39 million people by the end of 2020 -- not quite enough to cover the entire Phase 1 group.If only one vaccine is available by October, the projections suggest there could be enough doses to cover 13 to 26 million people.That might only be enough for frontline healthcare workers and first responders, of which there are an estimated 17 million.Healthcare workers and first responders get the highest priority, which NASEM calls Phase 1a, so they can maintain the integrity of the healthcare system.“When there’s a pandemic, you want to make sure you have enough people to take care of those that are sick,” said Dr. Abisola Olulade of Sharp Rees-Stealy Medical Group.Phase 1b includes individuals with multiple underlying conditions, like cancer, chronic kidney disease, and serious heart conditions.Approximately 75% of adults hospitalized for COVID-19 in the U.S. between March 1 and August 15 had at least two underlying conditions, according to data from the COVID-19 Associated Hospitalization Surveillance Network cited in the NASEM guidelines. More than 60% of hospitalized adults had three or more underlying conditions.“It would make sense that you would include a segment of the population that’s at risk of doing the worst,” said Dr. Peter Chin-Hong, an infectious disease specialist at UC San Francisco.There are an estimated 27 million people in the Phase 1b category.Critical workers in high-risk industries like grocery store clerks, mail carriers, and bus drivers would be in Phase 2, along with teachers, homeless people, prisoners, people with moderately risky underlying conditions, and anyone over the age of 65.“Even though people 65 and older make up less than 20% of the population, there have been 80% of COVID-19 deaths in this age,” Dr. Olulade said.Risk factors including high blood pressure, liver disease, or moderate-to-severe asthma would qualify an individual for Phase 2.There are an estimated 27 million people in this phase.In Phase 3, NASEM recommends inoculating people who are at lower risk of a bad infection but may be vectors for the spread of disease, including young people and children.NASEM noted that it will be “critical to conduct additional trials to gain better understanding of safety and efficacy of COVID-19 vaccine among children before they receive the vaccine.” Currently, there are no COVID vaccine trials that include children.Other essential workers at moderate risk of exposure would also be included in Phase 3, including employees in restaurants, hotels, hair salons, and exercise facilities.Phase 4 includes everyone else. 3589

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) — This year marks 75 years since many turning points in World War II, including the end of the war on Aug. 14. Now, the men and women who served are in their 90s and many say despite the time, they remember exactly where they were the moment they found out the war was over.“We were told you’re just going on a flight, and we were told you don’t have to, the wars over,” said 93-year-old Navy veteran Al Hansen.“The war ended and they let us all, gave us liberty for the day,” remembered 94-year-old Navy veteran Don Hubbard.RELATED: WWII veteran honors D-Day anniversary with world-wide bell ringingTo commemorate the day, the USS Midway held a ceremony. Due to coronavirus restrictions, the public was not invited, however, the event was live-streamed on the museum's Facebook page, which can be found here.In attendance were three Navy World War II veterans, including Hansen and Hubbard, along with 95-year-old Jack Scott, who said he wants to use this anniversary to remind the public to find peace.“Right now there seems to be a great deal of unrest in the country and I would like, of course, for the unrest to come to an end and for people to be kind to one another,” said Scott. 1212

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) -- Thursday, millions of people throughout California will participate in a massive statewide earthquake drill.International ShakeOut Day happens on the third Thursday of every October and is a day for communities to prepare for the worst-case scenario.This year, the drill will take place on Thursday, October 18 and 10:18 a.m. Last year, more than 10 million people throughout the state participated. RELATED: West Coast quake warning system now operational, with limitsTo sign up for the drill, click here. Below are some steps that can be taken before an earthquake strikes: 613

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) - The San Diego Padres and Ballast Point Brewing Company are toasting the team's early success in 2019 with a new brew called Swingin' Friar Ale.The Padres unveiled the beer Monday at the brewery's Miramar location.Swingin' Friar Ale is an exclusive beer to honor the team’s 50th anniversary in America’s Finest City and will be available year-round. Fans of the brown and gold color scheme will enjoy the packaging on the six packs, Ballast Point said.The Simcoe hopped pale ale has aromas of grapefruit and citrus complemented by a crisp, biscuity finish, Ballast Point said. “In developing Swingin’ Friar Ale with the Padres, we all agreed we wanted to brew an easy-drinking beer that’s perfect for the ball game but still packs the hops San Diego is known for,” Ballast Point VP of Brewing James Murray said. “Ballast Point has called San Diego home for more than 20 years and proudly supports the hometown team.”“When we considered a local craft partner to collaborate with on the Padres first-ever co-branded beer, Ballast Point was a perfect fit given our long-standing partnership and their 20-plus years of brewing and distributing award-winning craft beer throughout San Diego,” said Erik Greupner, President of Business Operations for the San Diego Padres. “The occasion of our 50th anniversary this season was a meaningful time to launch this new beer and offer Padres and Ballast Point fans an opportunity to enjoy the beer and celebrate with us at Petco Park and throughout San Diego.”Even before the first pitch, the Padres are reporting the earliest sell out for Opening Day, Mar. 28, in recorded history, with All Star Manny Machado generating excitement for the team.RELATED: Machado signing brings hope to San Diego Padres fans, businesses near Petco ParkSan Diego’s craft beer industry will be celebrated at BeerFest on Friday, May 11 at the ballpark. Ticket holders can enjoy beer specials for and live music in Park at the Park. 1978

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) -- The San Diego County Sheriff’s Department is warning residents about drinking and driving ahead of the busy Fourth of July holiday weekend.The department says it will be conducting increased DUI patrols on Saturday, July 4 and over the course of the weekend.The department also plans to hold an impaired driving checkpoint in North County Friday night.Last year, deputies arrested more than 1,300 people for impaired driving. So far in 2020, 387 drivers have been arrested for driving under the influence, the department says. "No one should ever drive under the influence," said Sheriff Bill Gore. "Throughout the pandemic, deputies have continued to enforce impaired driving laws. Don't drink and drive." 734