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SAN DIEGO (KGTV) - The Climate Prediction Center released the final El Ni?o advisory for 2019, which means El Ni?o is over and now we are in a neutral phase with a 55 percent chance of continuing into winter.So what does that mean for the rest of summer and, most importantly, San Diego's winter? In order to put this in perspective, let’s review what this seasonal change means.San Diegans typically associate El Ni?o with a wet winter, or more rain and a better water supply. However, El Ni?o is more than that.The National Weather Service defines El Ni?o as a recurring climate pattern involving changes in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean. Warm and cool changes are associated with the ENSO cycle. El Ni?o and La Ni?a are extreme phases of the ENSO cycle, but there is a third phase, less well known, called the ENSO neutral. That third phase is where San Diego is headed for the rest of the year and possibly through the winter months. El Ni?o and La Ni?a have a greater impact during the winter months. La Ni?a doesn’t do much for winters in California; it typically keeps San Diego dry and warm. The opposite happens during El Ni?o, which explains why it’s so much more popular. El Ni?o brings an active Jet and more frequent storms, reducing our drought and helping our water supply, with cold driven storms and snow for the Sierra Nevada mountains. The neutral phase is where San Diego is headed this fall with a 55 percent chance of it sticking around through the winter. The ENSO neutral phase is neither cold like La Ni?a nor warm like El Ni?o. The ENSO neutral phase is associated with sea surface temperatures closer to average, and stronger winds near the equator. It typically keeps the coldest air over the Northeast, warmer temperatures through the southern portion of the country, and wetter through the Midwest and Northeast.The ENSO Neutral typically keeps San Diego warm and dry. The extended forecast calls for above-normal temperatures for the remainder of the summer and near normal rain, which means dry since we are usually dry during those months.The winter outlook also brings near to slightly above normal temperatures. Rainfall will average near normal. San Diego's rainy season begins in November and lasts through March, sometimes lasting through April. Month Average Rainfall November 1.01” December 1.53” January 1.98” February 2.27” March 1.81” April 0.78” The average rainfall for the entire year in San Diego is 10.34 inches. During the months of November through April, we average more than 9 inches of rain. So, all we need is one storm every month during the winter time to keep us on track for the year. While the forecast favors an ENSO Neutral phase, there is a 30 percent chance the seasonal outlook could retrend toward El Ni?o. If we go back to El Ni?o, there is a better chance any given storm that moves into Southern California will be a rain maker, even if we only have a few storms.We will continue to monitor the changes; another year of surplus rain would be great for our region. 3074

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) — The four executive orders the president signed Saturday aimed at helping both working and unemployed Americans during the ongoing pandemic is not the most efficient way to help the nation, according to a local expert.Dr. Alan Gin, University of San Diego Professor of Economics at the Economics Research Center, said the national issue needs a national relief package, instead of an order that pulls from multiple pools, like the CARES Act and other emergency funds. Unfortunately, Congress is deadlocked in an ideals crisis.Dr. Gin said this order could delay funds for unemployed Americans because it complicates the process.News that frustrates people like Cindy Griffith who has been trying to get her benefits for five months.Griffith, a new mom to 17-month old Wilder, was laid off in March with her husband. They both worked in restaurants. "It's been a nightmare," she said. "I spent every day stressing about EDD, calling EDD." READ RELATED: EDD sends woman identity verification form with wrong social security numberShe made hundreds of phone calls to the Employment Development Department, reached out to every representative she could find and finally went to court. The judge ruled her paperwork was in order and she deserved her unemployment checks. That was three weeks ago and she hasn't seen a dime.Thankfully her husband's unemployment funds came through and supported them until they Solterra Winery and Kitchen hired them.When she heard about the president's Executive Order she didn't have much faith. "Spending five months fighting for my money, yeah it's great that that money will continue on if I do lose my job, yeah 0 a week will help, but I don't know if I'll see that money either so I'm just hoping my restaurant stays open."Twenty-five percent of the 0 a week for unemployed Americans is supposed to come from the state. In California, Dr. Gin says that's money we don't have, "tax revenues are down considerably with economic activity reduced, both the income tax and the sales tax." Dr. Gin added California has to have a balanced budget each year by law, but the federal government can borrow."Traditional macroeconomic theory says that should have a negative impact, whether on inflation or higher interest rates so far we haven't had either one," Dr. Gin said it could happen further down the road.The president if he is re-elected he would cut the payroll tax that funds the dwindling Social Security fund and Medicare.Dr. Gin said that is something Democrats and Republicans have been against, and "there's a question of whether or not the president can do that without congressional authorization."All of this affecting little Wilder's future, his parents still waiting and hoping for some financial relief."It wasn't until I got into my restaurant and could walk with cash every night you know? Besides that I'm just waiting so I'm still months behind. Yeah I'm just really lucky I was able to go back to work," Griffith said.She gave this advice to anyone suffering the same struggle she's facing, '"stay strong, hang in there and keep fighting for the money you deserve." 3147

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) -- The first Tuesday of every August, people across the nation recognize National Night Out.The night is designed to strengthen neighborhood spirit and police-community relations and heighten crime and drug prevention awareness.Thousands of people throughout the county are expected to attend this year’s National Night Out.Check out the list below for locations: 388

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) - Teachers across the U.S. are working to diversify the books in their classroom libraries, according to Harvard University and Collaborative Classrooms."It’s been more than 50 years since literacy experts first stressed the need for more diverse books in the classroom, and yet reading lists look surprisingly the same as they did in 1970," an excerpt from Harvard Ed Magazine reads.Mother Tancy Campbell wasn't exposed to characters who were African American growing up."It wasn't until high school that I started seeing books that had people that looked like me and started getting into black authors like Toni Morrison and Maya Angelou," Campbell says.Third-grade Teacher Kyle Luciani noticed the disparity last year when he started looking through his own classroom library. He went to work last year adding to his library. "I noticed almost all characters are animals or white," Luciani said. "I have books about biographies, about Jackie Chan, about Oprah Winfrey. Books on civil rights leaders ... Books such as don’t touch my hair, books on awareness of cultures."He said after George Floyd died, he added 0 worth of books on diversity and culture to his classroom.Last year, Luciani said he saw the electric change in his students."They love them! I mean I don’t think they’re always aware, 'Oh, it's someone of color,' but it's cool seeing them drawn to them automatically," Luciani said.In a 2015 Collaborative Classroom Diversity Review Book Project, 59% of books in more than 200,000 classrooms across the country had white characters and about 90% of authors were white. A team member of the project said this makes children of other ethnicities feel invisible or insignificant.Licensed psychologist Dr. Michelle Carcel is Latina and trained to teach diversity and inclusion courses. "I certainly take this to heart. It is so important to identify with others who are like you and you can see similarities and so you can also see diversity as a welcoming thing," said Carcel.Campbell believes diverse books will shape the future."I think it gives them confidence that they're the center of the story, I think that it shows them a hero can look like them," said Campbell. "I think it gives them stories of their background, that they might not have known before of their history and their culture that they didn't learn from their parents or grandparents."She has a diverse home library for her 9- and 5-year-old children. She said the latest book they read is about a girl in Africa who has to walk a long way to find water, bring it home, and boil it before she can take a sip. She said her daughter was touched by the book and filled with gratitude we have access to clean drinking water.Carcel said diverse books like this can break down systemic racism and heal generational trauma. 2829

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) - Teachers are quickly adapting to online lesson plans to engage their students.Third grade teacher Carlisa Flanders said Friday was the first day she'd been back to school since Grant K-8 shut its doors March 13 due to coronavirus concerns.Flanders said the day the school closed was hectic and stressful, "we had a couple hours to hussle. I put together two weeks of work, took as much as I could went home and hunkered down."She was emotional thinking of the future, wondering when she was going to see her students again and when school would reopen.Tuesday was the day she was able to go online, using a program called Zoom, and video conference with her students. She said 18 of the 21 students have been attending school this week.Friday morning, their homework assignment was to bring one thing to share. Many of her students showed off their pets."The majority of my focus is going to be making sure I stay connected with my students, making sure they feel the love," she said, gesturing at a board behind her with the words, 'Good Morning! You are awesome! You are loved!' written in different colored markers.Flanders said right now class is optional and labeled as enrichment. She said Thursday she read a book to the kids.Parents, like mom Leona Smith, said the social interaction from class is exactly what her son has been missing, "that connection he has, and the bonds that he has with his friends and his teacher it's like no other.""I think we forget how much school and their friends and their teachers are part of their everyday life," Smith said.Mrs. Flanders has been working tirelessly to bridge boundaries with online education, "I am now texting, communicating with friends I now have in Georgia, in Texas, in Oregon who are also third grade teachers and I'm collaborating virtually with strangers but their hearts are in the exact same place as mine and we're all just like try this, try this, try this."She said her tech savvy students are also stepping up teaching her tricks, like starting a chat and sharing pictures through the program. 'Our first lesson was how to mute and unmute the microphone,' Mrs. Flanders said.Friday was emotional. Mrs. Flanders said she was glad to go back to school and see fellow teachers' cars in the parking lot, but could only wave hello from a distance. "I got to go back to school for 20 minutes, I got my charts, I got our class mascot, this is happy," she said holding a rainbow hedgehog stuffed animal. She said she also grabbed a large stack of books.She was also happy to get back a semblance of a routine, saying class will start online officially on April 27."Oh gosh, it's mind boggling to think how these grades will actually count towards them finishing the third grade year," Mrs. Flanders said concerned.She's focusing instead on each lesson and the positive impact she can make on her students."At the end of every school day I usually hug, high-five or fist bump my kids, so our first Zoom, we decided this is our new way of hugging," She said making an 'air-hug' gesture, "So to all of you here's a hug. We'll get through this."The San Diego Unified School District said schools will be soft launching online education April 6. That way they can connect students in need with computers and WiFi, so everyone is ready for the hard launch April 27. That means teachers will assign tasks that will be graded.The district said if a student cannot connect online, they will not be penalized and their grade will be frozen. 3523

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