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SAN DIEGO (KGTV) — State officials hope California’s new 10 p.m. stay-at-home order will slow the spread of COVID-19, otherwise, another 10,000 San Diegans are projected to contract the virus in the next 10 days.That’s according to a new county-by-county forecast from Facebook, which rolled out the prediction software last month.Facebook projects L.A. County will see the second-largest increase in cases in the country by November 30. San Diego County is projected to add the 15th most cases, reaching a total of 78,594 infections by Nov. 30.The two-week forecast was released before Governor Gavin Newsom announced enhanced restrictions. Facebook will release a new two-week forecast next week.“Many other forecasts around the world are only predicting caseload at a country or state level,” said Laura McGorman with Facebook’s Data for Good team. “We’re trying to be much more local in this approach because we know so much of the COVID-19 response is in fact local.”McGorman said the forecast tool could help county and state officials plan hospital bed space, ICU capacity, ventilators and other critical supplies.The map is powered by artificial intelligence that draws on seven kinds of data. They use outside metrics like confirmed cases, doctor visits and the weather combined with information Facebook collects like a survey of people’s symptoms and GPS location data.The location data helps gauge whether people are staying home and isolating or circulating among the community, according to McGorman.Facebook only pulls data from users who opt in and no, they’re not reading your posts. All of the information, which is aggregated to the county or state level to protect privacy, is available for the public to download.The tech giant initially started Data for Good three years ago to help with disaster-relief projects, McGorman said. Among other applications, their location data can quickly predict if evacuations are working.“Typically, groups like the Red Cross have to knock door-to-door to see if people are still home, or wait for people to show up at shelters to see if they’ve gotten out of harm’s way,” she said.The software has also been used to detect network outages when a hurricane knocks out cellphone towers, she said.Facebook’s COVID-19 mapping tools have been used to inform policymakers in New York and Mexico, and the data has helped analyze the effectiveness of stay-at-home orders in California, McGorman said. 2457

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) — Singer-songwriter Alessa Cara joined Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson this week in sending condolences to the family of the 12-year-old girl and her mother killed in a wrong-way crash on Interstate 805.Answering a Twitter message from Angelo Pizarro, whose sister, Aryana, and mother, Aileen, were killed in the I-805 crash, Cara told him to check for a private message. Cara added, "I'm so sorry. All my love to you and your family." 464

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) - San Diego politicians are rallying for businesses affected by the county's move to the purple most restrictive tier.Coronado Mayor Richard Bailey said the purple tier is taking a toll, hurting businesses that can't withstand another months-long closure.He said it could make or break them and their employees, "many of their employees have been let go now their second or third time as of yesterday and it's really heartbreaking to hear their stories."Bailey said he voiced his concerns on Instagram after learning Public Health Officer Dr. Wilma Wooten filed an adjudication request that stated, "San Diego's increased cases are not due to the sectors impacted by moving into a more restrictive tier." The most recent information from the county shows work is the location with the highest transmission rate at 30%. Businesses like restaurants and gyms that are affected by the purple tier restrictions make up about 20% of exposures altogether."So if these businesses are not actually contributing to the spread of COVID based on information from the County Health Officer then why would we be shutting them down in the first place?" Bailey said.Coronavirus cases are higher than they've ever been, at 64,768 as of Sunday.“This is a stark reminder that COVID is real, is spreading and must be taken seriously. At this point, we are pleading with the public to take action to slow the spread: wear a mask, physically distance, and limit contact with those outside of your household,” said Supervisor Nathan Fletcher, Co-Chair, County of San Diego COVID-19 Subcommittee.The purple tier closures went into effect Saturday. Over the last week, Saturday and Sunday saw the highest jumps in new cases we've seen."I think the desire of the entire region of course is to slow the spread," Bailey said, but he hopes to do that with a new system."We call upon the state of California to implement a better more nuanced policy that has protocols in place that allow businesses who are not contributing to the spread to remain open and place greater emphasis on the areas where we know gatherings are taking place that are contributing to the spread and subsequent hospitalizations."Bailey will be at a march and rally spearheaded by Supervisor Jim Desmond Monday afternoon voicing these concerns.They will march from Time Out Sports Tavern at 2:30 pm to the County Administration Building and hold a rally there. 2430

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) — San Diego's Board of Supervisors voted unanimously Wednesday to extend a local and public health emergency in response to the coronavirus.The board cautioned that extending the emergencies did not indicate that the general public faced any higher risk of the virus."Today's vote reaffirmed the County of San Diego's decisive action on Friday to declare a local emergency and local health emergency was the right one," Supervisor Nathan Fletcher said in a statement. "While these actions do not signify any increase in risk to our residents, it does clearly signify our vigilance and commitment to doing everything we can to protect the public."RELATED:Person back in ICE custody after being evaluated for coronavirus at Sharp Chula Vista2 coronavirus patients remain hospitalized, 1 person under observationMislabeled sample led to release of San Diego coronavirus patientMiramar coronavirus evacuees start petition for quarantine oversightThe two declarations give San Diego leaders the ability to seek mutual aid, potential reimbursement for their response, ensure resources to first responders and hospitals, stock pile medical supplies and hospital beds, and access to state and federal emergency funds if necessary.“We have heard myriad concerns from people and organizations throughout the County of San Diego,” said Wilma Wooten, San Diego County public health officer. “I want to assure you that the risk to the general public, related to COVID-19, is low at this time.”Last week, supervisors declared local and public health emergencies over the virus, after two evacuees brought to MCAS Miramar from Wuhan, China, tested positive for the illness.Tuesday, about 160 evacuees were released after they completed their 14-day quarantine at the base. A second group of evacuees are expected to be released from quarantine sometime this week.After the evacuees are released, the county said it will focus on monitoring travelers arriving in the U.S. from provinces in China other than Hubei.Currently, there are a total of seven patients being tested for novel coronavirus. Six people have tested negative and one person is waiting for test results to return. None of the patients have needed to be hospitalized.County health officials say these individuals will be under home quarantine and self-monitored under their supervision. 2362

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) - Six months into the coronavirus pandemic, doctors around San Diego are starting to see the long-term effects of the disease.They're finding COVID-19 can have a lasting impact on a person's health, even in mild cases."We're facing anew enemy that can present itself in a myriad of ways," says Dr. Eric Adler, a professor at UC San Diego's Cardiology Division and the Director of the Heart Transplant Program."We know this can take months to years," Dr. Adler says. "So, we're bracing ourselves for impact."According to a study from the CDC, 35% of people with mild cases of COVID-19 "had not returned to their normal state of health when interviewed 2-3 weeks after testing."The same study found that 26% of young people, 18-34 years old, also had symptoms more than two weeks after a positive diagnosis."We can expect it in a lot of cases, and in people that have been severely ill and hospitalized," says Dr. Abi Olulade from Sharp Rees-Stealy. "But it's concerning that we see it in people that had mild illness and also in young people that didn't have any preexisting conditions."The CDC, the Mayo Clinic, and the World Health Organization have all released information about the long-term effects of COVID-19. Studies from all three found a range of symptoms in patients beyond the typical two-week recovery time.The most common include fatigue, cough, shortness of breath, headache, joint pain, continued loss of taste or smell, congestion, and confusion.Doctors who spoke to ABC 10News say they also see long-term damage or vital organs like the heart and lungs."Even after the infection is cured, even after the virus is gone and dead, there is still a lot of ongoing inflammation and scarring that happens in the lungs," says Dr. Amy Bellinghausen, with UC San Diego's Pulmonary Critical Care Department."Just like a scar on your skin, scars in your lungs take a long time to go away," says Dr. Bellinghausen.It can also lead to long-term heart problems. Dr. Adler says patients need to be aware of heart issues like Myocarditis, an inflammation of the heart muscle.According to the CDC, Myocarditis "might also explain some frequently reported long-term symptoms like shortness of breath, chest pain, and heart palpitations."For Diana Berrent, the symptoms came back more than three months after getting over her initial fight with the coronavirus."It doesn't have a straight road, a straight trajectory towards recovery," says Barrent. "That's the biggest difference. The symptoms came and went. Every day it would be like reaching into a shopping bag and picking out a new set of symptoms."Berrent started Survivor Corps, an online support and advocacy group for COVID-19 survivors. Her group, and others like it, have thousands of members sharing stories of recurring symptoms and problems with friends, family, and doctors taking them seriously.Survivor Corps joined forces with the Indiana School of Medicine to do a comprehensive survey of COVID-19 survivors, to learn about their symptoms and long-term side effects. Barrent urges everyone who has had the disease to get involved."It's great that all this work is being put into the vaccine, but we also need therapeutics for people who have survived but are mere shadows of their former selves," she says. "We need to address this immediately. We are looking at another huge health crisis in this country."Researchers are looking into similar inflammatory diseases, like SARS, ARDS, and Mono, for clues on what to expect years down the road.In the meantime, doctors say the best thing patients can do is stay in touch with their primary care physician. 3647

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