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BEIJING, June 29 -- Chinese listed banks, which have lent record high amounts in the first half, are likely to report lower profit growth in the period due to narrowing interest spreads and higher provisioning requirements, industry analysts said.     "We are expecting a 7 to 8 percent year-on-year profit fall among the 14 listed banks in the first half-year," said Wang Liwen, banking analyst with Shanghai-based Guotai Junan Securities Co, citing stretched interest spreads as the major reason.     In 2008, the net interest rate spread for banks ranged from 2.45 percentage points to 3.62 percentage points, with the average figure hovering around 3 percentage points. This year, as the government cut interest rates several times to spur economic growth amid the global financial crisis, the net interest rate spread is expected to be lower, at around 2.36 percentage points. Clients walk into the Suzhou branch of Bank of Ningbo in Suzhou, east China's Jiangsu Province, March 27, 2009.The bank, the first listed lender to file a mid-term report, said its first-half profits would drop nearly 5 percent from a year earlier    "A drop of 0.7 percentage points in the average net interest rate spread could mean some 7-billion-yuan decrease in the interest yield for each trillion yuan of new loans," said Wang.     Chinese banks extended a record 7.37 trillion yuan of new loans in the first half, triple the amount offered in the same period a year earlier and 47 percent more than the government's full-year target, after lending restrictions were eased in November to stem an economic slowdown.     However, most securities firms' reports said the country's 14 listed banks might post an average profit decrease ranging from 6 percent to 10 percent year-on-year in the first six months.     According to Wind Info, a financial data provider, the 14 listed banks reported a net profit of 232.7 billion yuan in the first half of 2008, an increase of 73 percent year-on-year. But this year, the net profit could probably stand at 210 billion yuan, down 10 percent on a yearly basis.     Bank of Ningbo, for instance, on July 14 announced no more than a 5-percent decease in net profit in its pre-released semi-annual report to the Shenzhen bourse. It is the first Chinese listed bank to report a profit fall in the first half.     Wang Yifeng, an analyst at TX Investment Consulting, said the improved provision coverage ratio requirement might also cripple profits at listed banks.     To prevent potential risks arising from the lending spree, China Banking Regulatory Commission raised the minimum provision coverage ratio requirement to 150 percent from 130 percent earlier this year.     "The increase will mainly eat into the profits of several large State-controlled banks as they are still not up to the new requirements," said Wang.     But as the squeezed spreads bottom out in the second half, most analysts said listed banks would still post positive growth for the whole year.     "Thanks to the widened interest rate spreads and lower loan cost in the following months, we are expecting a 10-percent growth in profits overall this year," said Liu Yinghua, an analyst with Shenzhen-based Ping An Securities.

NEW YORK, Aug. 31 (Xinhua) -- Oil prices plummeted to below 70 U.S. dollars a barrel on Monday as investors were rattled by the sharp decline in China's equities market.     Light, sweet crude for October delivery lost 2.78 dollars, or 3.8 percent, to settle at 69.96 dollars a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract fell to the intraday low of 69.13 dollars a barrel. Global stock markets dropped broadly after China's Shanghai Composite Index dived almost 7 percent, spurring concerns about the pace of world economic recovery.     Oil prices have found support from optimism that a potential turnaround in the economy could boost flagging fuel consumption, which sent the futures up to a fresh ten-month high of 75 dollars a barrel. However, oil failed to break the 75-dollar psychological barrier and fell back to around 70 dollars a barrel as investors were worried that the market might have gotten too far ahead of the economy.     In London, Brent Crude for October delivery tumbled 3.52 dollars, or 4.8 percent, to 69.27 dollars a barrel on the ICE Futures exchange.

BEIJING, Sept. 26 (Xinhua) -- Chinese farmers would see their income continue to rise this year, Vice Minister of Agriculture Chen Xiaohua said at a press conference Saturday.     "As China's economy is recovering, there are more and more positive factors supporting the increase of farmers' income," said Chen.     Farmers' per capita cash income in the first half of this year reached 2,733 yuan (400 U.S. dollars), up 8.1 percent year on year. But the increase rate was 2.2 percentage points slower than that in the same period last year, according to Chen.     "The growth is remarkable and the statistics are pleasing. However, China is still short of a long-term mechanism for increasing farmers' income and efforts need to be made to increase the channels for farmers to earn more money," said Chen.     In the past, farmers' income was mainly driven up by increased grain production or raised prices. "Now, we should push forward agricultural industrialization to let market guide grain planting and agricultural production," Chen said.     Chen also stressed the importance of creating more jobs for surplus rural laborers in a bid to increase their salary income.     The salary income mainly comes from the earnings from working in local or urban enterprises.     The economic crisis reduced the number of Chinese migrant workers, with the current number standing around 225 million. In the second quarter this year, this number increased 2.6 percent from the first.     Chen also said the government will increase fiscal support for farmers in subsidizing their purchase of seed, diesel, fertilizer and other production materials.     The central government always gives priority to increasing farmers' income, he said.     "Local authorities should make every effort to keep increasing farmers' income to shore up rural development and to ensure stable and rapid economic development," Chinese Vice Primer Hui Liangyu said at a rural work conference held in China's eastern city of Hangzhou from Thursday to Friday.

BEIJING, July 23 (Xinhua) -- The Chinese government has made clear Thursday that it will continue its proactive fiscal policy in the second half of this year to maintain its economic growth as government leaders reiterated the stance, for there are still uncertainties ahead.     Finance Minister Xie Xuren told local financial bureaus at a conference in Beijing on Thursday that the proactive policies, which included increased investment from the government, tax cuts and subsidies to low- income families, had taken effect in stimulating the recovery of the national economy.     The Chinese economy expanded 7.9 percent from a year ago in the second quarter of this year, driven by a surge of fixed-asset investment backed by government fiscal policies. Finance Minister Xie Xuren was seen in this file photo taken on March 6, 2008    The economic growth rate accelerated from the 6.1 percent in the first quarter of this year and the 6.8 percent in the fourth quarter of last year.     To weather the global economic recession, the Chinese government unveiled a four-trillion-yuan stimulus package in November to revive the world's third largest economy, which was slowed by tumbling exports. The central government promised a 1.18trillion yuan investment.     By the end of June, 591.5 billion yuan (86.6 billion U.S. dollars) out of the total investment from the central government had been allocated, which boosted a 33.5 percent jump of fixed-asset investment in the first half of this year. It was the highest level in the last five years.     The ministry's decision came as Chinese leaders vowed to continue the current policies.     Chinese President Hu Jintao said Thursday that China should adhere to its proactive fiscal policy and moderately easy monetary policy to ensure a stable economic growth as the recovery is not yet solid.     Premier Wen Jiabao has reiterated that the economy is in a crucial phase and rebounding. He pledged to maintain the current macroeconomic policies and fully implement its four-trillion yuan stimulus package.     Xie said the government will implement the fiscal policy "at full swing" in the second half of this year and speed up allocation of investment from government, which, Xie hoped, would stimulate private investment.     Yang Zhiyong, researcher of the Institute of Finance and Trade Economics at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, a government think tank, said that currently the proactive fiscal policy had a limited impact on pushing up private investment. It is hard for private investment to enter monopolistic sectors, he added.     Li Yining, an economist from the Peking University, said consumption should be spurred to fuel the growth momentum in the future as the current economic recovery was advanced mainly by investment. He suggested the proactive policy be further carried out to stimulate consumption and private investment in the following period.     Xie said in the second half the ministry will continue its policy of tax cuts to increase investment from enterprises and consumption.     The ministry also pledged to increase spending on people's livelihood. Investment in agriculture, social security, medical care, education, science and environmental protection climbed 33.9percent from a year earlier to 1.48 trillion yuan, according the ministry.     Analysts said the macroeconomic polices should also aim to adjust economic structure for the long term and to create new growth points.     Jia Kang, president of the Institute of Fiscal Science, Ministry of Finance, said the government resolves to step up adjustment of economic structure as the economy is back on track for recovery.     Xie said the fiscal policy in the second will support innovation and energy conservation and emission reduction to sustain the economic growth.     On July 21, the ministry started a pilot program to subsidize 50 percent of investment for solar power projects, a move to boost the solar industry as a new growth point for the country's economy.     Xie also urged to strengthen supervision over fiscal management and improve information transparency in the second half as fiscal expenditure in the second half faced great pressure. Wen Jiabao also described the country's fiscal situation as "severe."     The ministry said the country's fiscal revenue in the first six months fell 2.4 percent from a year ago to about 3.4 trillion yuan, while its fiscal expenditure rose 26.3 percent to 2.89 trillion yuan. 

PHUKET, Thailand, July 22 (Xinhua) -- Chinese Foreign Minister Yang Jiechi underlined here Wednesday the importance of tapping new areas of economic growth so as to enhance cooperation between China and the Association of Southeast Asia Nations (ASEAN).     Yang noted that one area of development is to implement plans to enhance agricultural productivity by drawing on advanced technology and to accelerate the cooperation on new and renewable energies. The ASEAN-China Foreign Ministers' Meeting is held in Phuket, Thailand, on July 22, 2009."We have maintained high-level exchanges, enhanced political mutual trust, shared development experience and strengthened confidence in cooperation," Yang said at the China-ASEAN Foreign Ministers' Meeting on Wednesday afternoon.     China and ASEAN have completed negotiations on the China-ASEAN Investment Agreement, paving the way for the full establishment of the China-ASEAN Free Trade Area (CAFTA) in 2010.     The ASEAN on Monday appreciated China's active role in developing transportation infrastructure between the two sides and welcomed the establishment of the 10 billion U.S. dollar fund for bilateral investment cooperation.     In April, Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao said that China has decided to set up a 10 billion U.S. dollar "China-ASEAN Fund on Investment Cooperation" to support infrastructural development in the region. 

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