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BEIJING, June 17 (Xinhua) -- China's political advisors brainstormed Wednesday on the country's economic development and offered suggestions about coping with the impact of the global downturn. They gave their advice as the standing committee of the 11th Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC) National Committee continued its sixth meeting, which started Tuesday. Li Yining, a renowned economist and one of the members of the standing committee, said restructuring and innovation were pivotal for an economic recovery. Once the problems of fair play and difficulty in financing were solved for private companies, their potential for innovation would emerge. Other proposals ranged from fostering new growth poles to solving social disputes. Jia Qinglin, chairman of the National Committee of the CPPCC, was present at the meeting. He said Tuesday that maintaining steady, relatively fast economic development and safeguarding social stability and harmony were the foremost tasks facing China, and he asked the participants to focus their discussions on these themes and make valuable suggestions.
WASHINGTON, April 22 (Xinhua) -- The International Monetary Fund on Wednesday warned that the global economy was in "a severe recession" and the world output is projected to decline 1.3 percent this year, the deepest global recession since the Great Depression in 1930s. "The global economy is in a severe recession inflicted by a massive financial crisis and acute loss of confidence," said the IMF in its latest World Economic Outlook report. "All corners of the globe are being affected." EPICENTER OF CRISIS According to the report, the world economy is projected to decline by 1.3 percent in 2009 as a whole and to recover only gradually in 2010, growing by 1.9 percent. "Achieving this turnaround will depend on stepping up efforts to heal the financial sector, while continuing to support demand with monetary and fiscal easing," said the IMF. The advanced economies experienced an unprecedented 7.5 percent decline in real GDP during the fourth quarter of 2008, and output is estimated to have continued to fall almost as fast during the first quarter of 2009, according to the report. Although the U.S. economy may have suffered most from intensified financial strains and the continued fall in the housing sector, western Europe and advanced Asia have been hit hard by the collapse in global trade, as well as by rising financial problems of their own and housing corrections in some national markets. Emerging economies are suffering badly and contracted 4 percent in the fourth quarter in the aggregate. The United States, at the center of an intensifying global financial storm, will contract by 2.8 percent this year, said the IMF, adding that "the biggest financial crisis since the Great Depression has pushed the United States into a severe recession." Meanwhile, the euro zone economy will shrink by 4.2 percent this year and fall a further 0.4 percent in 2010, the IMF said, criticizing the bloc for weak public policy responses and coordination. In Japan, the IMF expects 2009 output to fall 6.2 percent, far worse than its January forecast for a 2.6 percent decline. China is expected to slow to about 6.5 percent this year, half the 13 percent growth rate recorded pre-crisis in 2007 but still a strong performance given the global context, according to the IMF. UNCERTAIN OUTLOOK The IMF warned the financial crisis remains acute. "The financial market stabilization will take longer than previously envisaged, even with strong efforts by policymakers," it said. Thus, financial strains in the mature markets are projected to remain heavy until well into 2010, and overall credit to the private sector in the advanced economies is expected to decline in both 2009 and 2010. Meanwhile, emerging and developing economies are expected to face greatly curtailed access to external financing in both years. In a semi-annual report Global Financial Stability Report (GFSR), which was released on Monday, the IMF said write-down on U.S.-originated assets to be suffered by all holders will be 2.7 trillion dollars, "largely as a result of the worsening base-case scenario for economic growth." Total expected write-downs on global exposures are estimated at about 4 trillion dollars, of which two-thirds will fall on banks and the remainder on insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, and other intermediaries. In the latest World Economic Outlook report, the IMF warned that the current outlook is exceptionally uncertain, with risks weighed to the downside. The crisis has hurt international trade, with volume expected to plunge 11 percent this year before eking out 0.6 percent growth in 2010. Consumer prices in developed countries were under pressure and would fall 0.2 percent in 2009. "Even once the crisis is over, there will be a difficult transition period, with output growth appreciably below rates seen in the recent past," said the IMF. BOLD POLICY The IMF called for its members to take new bold policy stimulus to jump-start their economies. "This difficult and uncertain outlook argues for forceful action on both the financial and macroeconomic policy fronts," said the IMF. Past episodes of financial crisis have shown that delays in tackling the underlying problem mean an even more protracted economic downturn and even greater costs, both in terms of taxpayer money and economic activity. "Policymakers must be mindful of the cross-border ramifications of policy choices," said the IMF. "Initiatives that support trade and financial partners will help support global demand, with shared benefits." In advanced economies, scope for easing monetary policy further should be used aggressively to counter deflation risks. Although policy rates are already near the zero floor in many countries, whatever policy room remains should be used quickly, according to the IMF. Emerging economies also need to ease monetary conditions to respond to the deteriorating outlook. However, in many of those economies, the task of central banks is further complicated by the need to sustain external stability in the face of highly fragile financing flows, the IMF warned. The 185-member organization also warned against the rising protectionism. "Greater international cooperation is needed to avoid exacerbating cross-border strains," said the IMF. "Coordination and collaboration is particularly important with respect to financial policies to avoid adverse international spillovers from national actions." "A slide toward trade and financial protectionism would be hugely damaging to all, a clear warning from the experience of 1930s beggar-thy-neighbor policies," it warned.
BEIJING, June 30 (Xinhua) -- Taiwan authority opened up the island to Chinese mainland investment Tuesday with 100 categories of manufacturing, service and infrastructure sectors in the initial opening-up list. The move marks a historic breakthrough of decades-long hopes for two-way investments across the Taiwan Straits. Under two new regulations in effect Tuesday, mainland individuals, companies and institutions can set up branch offices, wholly-owned or joint-venture companies on the island. They have to get approval from Taiwan economic affairs authority in advance, according to the regulations. Investment from firms based outside the Chinese mainland, in which mainland ownership is more than 30 percent, will also be regarded as mainland investment in Taiwan, the regulations said. In the initial phase, the Taiwan authority allows mainland investment in 64 categories in manufacturing sector, 25 categories in service sector, and 11 categories in infrastructure sector on the island. Mainland investment would "help Taiwan's economy prosper" and make international investors more confident in Taiwan market, said John Chen-Chung Deng, deputy head of Taiwan's economic affairs authority, at Tuesday's press conference. The investment would help increase industry capital in Taiwan and make its financial market more vigorous, he said. Through two-way cross-Straits investments, the two sides could jointly explore mainland and international markets, he told the press conference. The formalization of cross-Straits investment is a long-term objective, he said. The opening-up will advance in a "gradual" way and "will be expanded as long as the initial investment bears fruits." The Taiwan authority planned to send a team to the mainland to attract investment in the second half of this year, he said. Taiwan welcomes mainland companies to conduct investigations for investment on the island. For the convenience of mainland investors in Taiwan, the relevant authority in Taiwan has also set down regulations on issues including medical service, education, financial need and house purchasing for both the investors and their family, according to the official. BREAKTHROUGH IN TWO-WAY INVESTMENT Experts said the move marks the end of the one-way flow of capital from Taiwan to the mainland, and is a basic indicator of the normalization of economic and trade ties between the two sides. Zhang Yansheng, director of the Institute of Foreign Trade under the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), said the influx of mainland capital would greatly boost Taiwan's gross production value, tax income and employment. The investment would not only benefit Taiwan companies harshly hit by the international financial turmoil, but also enhance competitiveness of mainland companies, he said. Liu Xiaohong, deputy general manager of Quanjude (Group) Co. Ltd., a Beijing-based company that specializes in the famous Peking roast duck, said the newly announced regulations have cleared major obstacles and will accelerate the company's pace to open outlets in Taiwan. Direct transport, postal service and trade was totally cut off between the two sides since the Chinese civil war ended in 1949. On Jan. 1, 1979, the Standing Committee of the National People's Congress, or the top legislature, called for an early realization of the three direct cross-Straits links on transport, mail and trade in its "Message to Compatriots in Taiwan". After 1979, the mainland allowed Taiwan products to enter at lower tax rates or tax-exemption. In July 1988, the State Council, or the Cabinet, issued regulations encouraging Taiwan compatriots to invest on the mainland. The mainland has been the largest trade partner of Taiwan since 2003, with annual trading volume surpassing 100 billion U.S. dollars. Tuesday's announcement came about two months after the mainland and Taiwan reached a historic consensus on allowing mainland companies to invest in Taiwan during talks between the two sides top negotiators on cross-Straits relations.
BEIJING, June 16 (Xinhua) -- For the first time in more than one year, China reduced its holding of U.S. Treasury bonds, and experts told Xinhua Tuesday that move reflected concern over the safety of U.S.-dollar-linked assets. Data from the U.S. Treasury showed China pared its stake in Treasury bonds by 4.4 billion U.S. dollars, to 763.5 billion U.S. dollars, as of the end of April compared with March. Tan Yaling, an expert at the China Institute for Financial Derivatives at Peking University, told Xinhua that the move might reflect activity by China's institutional investors. "It was a rather small amount compared with the holdings of more than 700 billion U.S. dollars." "It is unclear whether the reduction will continue because the amount is so small. But the cut signals caution of governments or institutions toward U.S. Treasury bonds," Zhang Bin, researcher with the Institute of World Economics and Politics of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, a government think tank, told Xinhua. He added that the weakening U.S. dollar posed a threat to the holdings of U.S. Treasury bonds. The U.S. government began to increase currency supply through purchases of Treasury bonds and other bonds in March, which raised concern among investors about the creditworthiness of U.S. Treasury bonds. The move also dented investor confidence in the U.S. dollar and dollar-linked assets. China, the biggest holder of U.S. Treasury bonds, is highly exposed. In March, Premier Wen Jiabao called on the United States "to guarantee the safety of China's assets." China is not the only nation that trimmed holdings of U.S. Treasury bonds in April: Japan, Russian and Brazil did likewise, to reduce their reliance on the U.S. dollar. However, Tan said that U.S. Treasury bonds were still a good investment choice. Hu Xiaolian, head of the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, said in March that U.S. Treasury bonds played a very important role in China's investment of its foreign exchange reserves. China would continue to buy the bonds while keeping an eye on fluctuations. Zhang said it would take months to see if China would lower its stake. Even so, any reduction would not be large, or international financial markets would be shaken, he said. Wang Yuanlong, researcher with the Bank of China, said the root of the problem was the years of trade surpluses, which created the huge amount of foreign exchange reserves in China. It left China's assets tethered to the U.S. dollar, he said. He said making the Renminbi a global currency would cut China's demand for the U.S. dollar and reduce its proportion in the trade surplus.
BEIJING, May 1 (Xinhua) -- Chinese top legislator Wu Bangguo started a timer Friday for the year-long countdown to the Shanghai World Expo at Tian'anmen Square in the heart of Beijing. Wu, chairman of the National People's Congress Standing Committee, said at a ceremony that the government would spare no effort in preparation for the 2010 Shanghai World Expo, and the country looked forward to experiencing technological advances and sharing the achievements of human civilization with friends from across the world. Chinese top legislator Wu Bangguo (R) applauds after starting a year-long countdown timer installed at Tian'anmen Square in the heart of Beijing, capital of China, for the Shanghai World Expo to be held on May 1, 2010He said the World Expo had proved during its more than 150-yearhistory to play an important, unique role in promoting world economic and technological development. The Expo could also help promote the development of civilizations and cultures, he said. China's business hub, Shanghai, won a bid to host the 2010 World Expo in 2002. The Expo will be on stage from May 1 to Oct. 31 next year. Hong Kong and Hollywood film legend Jackie Chan, one of the promotion ambassadors for the Shanghai 2010 World Expo, performs during the ceremony to unveil the one-year countdown clock in Beijing's Tian'anmen Square, May 1, 2009.So far more than 230 countries, regions and international organizations have confirmed that they would participate in the Expo, which will use the theme of "Better City, Better Life". The countdown timer was installed at the east side of the square, where a similar timer once counted down the days to the Beijing Olympic Games. After the Expo opens, the timer will display the daily number of visitors. Wu said the Expo would help increase exchanges and cooperation between China and the rest of the world. Photo taken on May 1, 2009 shows the year-long countdown timer installation ceremony at Tian'anmen Square in the heart of Beijing, capital of China, for the Shanghai World Expo to be held on May 1, 2010Based on the Expo's theme, the event would provide an opportunity for all participants to demonstrate methods of city planning and development and environmentally friendly lifestyles for sustainable development, he said. The top legislator also said that a successful, splendid and memorable World Expo was a promise made by the Chinese government and people. Shanghai's Communist Party chief, Yu Zhengsheng, who is also the vice-chairman of the Expo's organizing committee, said at the ceremony that the fair would be another international event in China after the Beijing Olympic Games, for which all preparations went smoothly. The Expo would also be a safe and frugal event, Yu added.