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Studies have shown that the coronavirus is more likely to spread between people indoors. With the weather beginning to turn, it's going to be more difficult to dine and congregate outdoors — and with many heading inside, Dr. Anthony Fauci, the nation's top infectious disease expert, warns that Americans need to be more vigilant than ever against the spread COVID-19.During an appearance at a Harvard Medical Panel on Thursday, Fauci warned that Americans will need to "hunker down" during what will be a "difficult" fall and winter if the country wants to avoid another spike in COVID-19 cases."I just think we need to hunker down and get through this fall and winter," Fauci said. "Because it's not going to be easy. We know every time we restrict, we lift restrictions we get a blip. I mean, it's getting whack-a-mole."Fauci added that he's not looking forward to the coming months, adding that it's "quite frankly depressing." But he said that it's essential for Americans to keep their guards up."Don't ever, ever underestimate the potential of the pandemic. And don't try and look at the rosy side of things," Fauci said.During Thursday's panel, Fauci and the event's host, Dr. Sanjay Gupta, described five steps Americans could take over next month and half that would significantly reduce the spread of COVID-19.Wear a maskKeep social distanceAvoid large gatheringsConsistent handwashingA shutdown of bars and similar businesses — while allowing outdoor seating"As long as you have any member of society and demographic group that's not trying to get to the end game of suppressing this, it will continue to smolder and smolder and smolder."Despite the concerns about a winter spike, Fauci says he doesn't believe that the U.S. will need to go into another shutdown, adding that the country would need to pull together to keep transmission levels down."I am cautiously optimistic. I do have an abiding faith in the American spirit," Fauci said. 1961

The 2020 hurricane season is already breaking records.Hurricane Isaias, which just passed through the Carolinas and the northeast, killing several people, was the season’s ninth named storm, making it the earliest in a year we have ever reached that number.It was also the fifth storm of the season to make landfall. It’s the fastest we’ve gotten to five land-falling storms since the old record set back in 1916."From a landfall perspective, this has already been a very, very active landfall season,” said Dr. Phil Klotzbach, from Colorado State University’s Tropical Weather and Climate Research Center.The group released its final predictions for the 2020 hurricane season on Wednesday, predicting above-average activity with 24 named storms and 12 hurricanes, five of them being major hurricanes of Category 3 strength or greater."Typically, we do one final update in early August to give you one final last best estimate to see what the season’s going to be like, and if we realized we really screwed things up until now, it’s one last shot at a mulligan,” Klotzbach explained.Before you say these records are just par for the course in 2020 there is a caveat. The 2020 season has not produced nearly the same amount of Accumulated Cyclone Energy, or ACE, as past years.For example, there were fewer named storms by this time in 2005, but the storms that did form in the Atlantic through the end of July of that year produced far more energy, including Hurricane Dennis, a Category 4, and Emily, a Category 5. That hurricane season went on to produce Hurricane Katrina, which battered New Orleans, and Hurricane Wilma, making it the worst hurricane season in recorded history.“Normally, a lot of storm activity in June and July doesn’t say much about how active the season is,” said Klotzbach.Klotzbach says the two big predictors of a hurricane season are ocean temperature in the deep tropics and wind shear, which is how wind direction changes at different levels of the atmosphere.This year, water in the Tropical Atlantic is the fourth warmest on record, meaning there is more fuel for hurricanes. July also had the second-lowest vertical wind sheer on record, meaning there is not much to cap a storm’s potential.It is why Klotzbach thinks once the peak of hurricane season arrives on August 20, we will have to make sure we are ready for whatever is thrown our way.“The primary reason why we’re forecasting such an active season isn’t as much the storm activity that we’ve already had, but the large-scale conditions we’ve observed during July and what we expect to see during the peak of the season,” said Klotzbach. 2638

The Australian refugee deal that US President Donald Trump once derided as "stupid" and "horrible" is happening.The first group of refugees being held at Australian offshore detention centers on Nauru and Papua New Guinea's Manus Island will leave for the US in the "coming weeks," the Australian government has confirmed in a statement."There will be about 25 (refugees) from both Manus and Nauru, will be going to the United States and I just want to thank again President Trump for continuing with that arrangement," Australian Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull?said in an interview with CNN's Australia affiliate Seven News.Under the terms of the arrangement, refugees selected by the Australian authorities for resettlement in the US are not guaranteed entry into the country. They must first pass a strict vetting process -- which can take months.An official at the US State Department told CNN on Wednesday that to date, they have determined one individual meets resettlement requirements and will be moved in "the coming weeks." The official said he expects the first batch of approved refugees to be notified within days."We expect refugees to travel to the United States in the coming weeks," the official said.Trump made it clear to Turnbull he was not a fan of the deal during their first phone call following Trump's inauguration in January, details of which were later revealed in a?leaked transcript?published by the Washington Post in August."I am the world's greatest person that does not want to let people into the country. And now I am agreeing to take 2,000 people and I agree I can vet them, but that puts me in a bad position. It makes me look so bad and I have only been here a week," Trump said."This is a big deal," Turnbull responded. "It is really, really important to us that we maintain it. It does not oblige you to take one person that you do not want.""This is a stupid deal. This deal will make me look terrible," Trump said, adding later "I think it is a horrible deal, a disgusting deal that I would have never made."The deal was negotiated by former US President Barack Obama and involved the transfer of 1,250 refugees from Australia in exchange for a group of Central American refugees from camps in Costa Rica.Towards the end of their phone call, Trump appeared to concede that he would stick with the deal, but he said he would tell the American people that "I hate it." 2432

Tenants and landlords around the country have been on a roller coaster ride with the eviction moratorium ordered by the Center for Disease Control and Prevention, in September. The mandate protecting tenants was put in place last month by the CDC after President Donald Trump signed an executive order. However, within days, landlords pushed back, filing several lawsuits against the CDC. As the lawsuits are being fought, the CDC is quietly rolling back its initial eviction protection through new guidance it put out last week.“The changes created new burdens for renters to have to meet and created some holes in the protection that those renters need,”said Dian Yentel.Yentel is with the National Low-Income Housing Coalition. NLIHC is an organization concerned about the new burden renters now face to prove their financial distress, but also over this new bit of information released in the CDC latest guidance. That new bit clarifies, for landlords, that they can proceed with filing evictions.“Landlords can file evictions and courts can essentially take every step in the eviction process up to actually removing somebody from their home,” added Yentel.”That has a significant impact and ultimately will mean more low-income people leaving their homes before the moratorium even expires.”Yentel explained many tenants do not want to go through an eviction process and tend to move out before the court-ordered eviction date under pressure. Some will move in with friends or family, potentially crowding homes and putting even more people at greater risk for catching COVID-19.The National Apartment Association, which attached itself to the lawsuits against the CDC, cautions the new guidelines aren’t as big of a victory as they may seem for landlords. They do not put landlords much closer to recovering back rent, what a report by Stout Risius Ross estimates to be - billion.“I think the guideline put out by the CDC provide a path forward, I still maintain that the guidelines are a half step to a solution,” said Bob Pennigar, who heads the NAA.A full step, he said, would be a solution that helps landlords and tenants. Interestingly enough, advocates on both sides have found some common ground there. Both have called for stimulus money allocated for rent.“We still need to have a stimulus act that will provide direct rental assistance,” said Pinnegar.“At least 100 billion dollars in emergency rental assistance,” added Yentel.However, Congress has the last say in what will be included in a stimulus package and whether there will even be another one. Both the House and Senate have been unable to agree on a new stimulus measure for months, and it’s becoming less clear if or when they will. It is however, more likely that a court will rule on whether to uphold the eviction moratorium or not, before then. 2842

States and districts across the country are unveiling their plans for the nation’s 56 million school children to return back to school. It’s a stressful time for parents and teachers, as well as students. Experts say it’s important to recognize the signs your child may not be ready to go back.“I really want to see friends and see teachers, and like, being actually inside the classroom,” said 14-year-old sophomore Amina Ahmad.Still, there is an uneasiness about whether a return to the classroom would lead to an outbreak.“Some people really are kind of worried about how many students are actually going back and how many people are going to be there,” said Ahmad.Politicians, school administrators, and parents are all weighing the potential risks of returning to the classroom. As novel coronavirus cases surge across the country, experts say the psychological toll on children needs to be addressed.“One of the things that we're seeing a lot is that after being away from that routine for a long time, it is normal for families and for youth to be concerned about ‘how is this going to be?’” said Dr. Tali Raviv, a child clinical psychologist at the Ann & Robert H. Lurie Children's Hospital of Chicago who specializes in student mental and health resilience.The American Association of Pediatrics says the benefits of in-person learning outweigh the risks and “…strongly advocates that all policy considerations for the coming school year should start with a goal of having students physically present in school.”But mental health experts say it’s important to understand how each child feels about going back.“Because it's a very different situation if a child is worried, ‘I'm not going to have my best friend with me in my little pod’ than if they're saying ‘I'm worried I'm going to get sick and die’ or ‘you're going to get sick and die,’” explained Dr. Raviv.Dr. Raviv says signs that your student is anxious about returning to school include:Any significant changes in sleep, falling asleep, staying asleep, not wanting to sleep alone or having nightmaresChanges in appetite or a lack of appetiteHeadaches or stomach achesBeing more irritable, frequent meltdownsWithdrawal from friends, family, other activitiesDr. Raviv says if the anxiety is debilitating, it may be time to see a professional.For sophomore Ahmad, her school’s hybrid schedule, alternating in-person and online classes, has put her mind at ease for now. 2448

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