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Housing and rates are worrying some economists that a recession is looming."One of the biggest concerns is the housing market," said Lindsey Piegza, chief economist for Stifel, on CNNMoney's "Markets Now" live show Wednesday. "It's throwing up a very large red flag and suggests maybe this 4% growth we saw in the second quarter is not sustainable."Home sales?have declined in four of the past five months as housing prices have grown -- but paychecks have remained stagnant. Many people can't afford to buy homes, and those who can are taking on a lot of debt to get into them.Piegza says that echoes what happened right before the Great Recession in 2008."We're not there yet, but this is what led us to the housing crash," she said.How could this happen again? Piegza believes that a decade of rock-bottom interest rates helped people forget about the dangers of borrowing too much."I don't know if we learned our lesson from the Great Recession," she said. "We are going back to a lot of the easy lending that we used to see."Although Piegza said a recession isn't necessarily imminent -- especially after quarterly growth just came in at the fastest pace in almost four years -- there are signs of waning momentum in the economy.Interest rates, for example, are starting to become a bad omen.The Federal Reserve, which finished up its two-day meeting Wednesday, is expected to raise its target rate two more times this year. Higher rates have boosted short-term US Treasury bond rates. But the longer-term bond rates haven't risen along with the shorter-term rates, because investors are growing wary about the economy over the long haul.With two more interest rate hikes planned, the Fed could boost short-term rates higher than long-term ones, inverting the so-called yield curve. An inverted yield curve has preceded every recession in modern history."We could easily be there by the end of the year," Piegza said. "I think we'll see pressure on the longer end by the end of the year, but the Fed will still be raising rates on the short end."Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has said that he is not concerned about an inverted yield curve. Piegza strongly disagrees."It is a predictive measure of a recession," she said. 2266
How the NYPD rolling up in Black communities these days (on my block): “Trump 2020. Put it on YouTube. Put it on Facebook...”Aight MFers... it’s on TWITTER TOO! BI-DEN! ??????#Vote #nypdfinest #bidenharris2020 pic.twitter.com/hmXdY8ivbM— Brandon K Hines (@thumpio) October 25, 2020 295
House Republicans are unveiling key details and the text behind their tax legislation Thursday, but not without some reservations from rank-and-file members.In advance of the bill's release -- which will be called the "Tax Cuts and Jobs Act," according to a source in a meeting with GOP members Thursday -- a source shared a summary of the plan, which permanently lowers the lowers the corporate tax rate to 20% and limits the home interest deduction to loans up to 0,000.The bill will also increase the standard deduction for individuals and households, repeals the alternative minimum tax and increased the child tax credit to ,600. The House GOP bill will also finally repeal the estate tax in 2024.Members will see the tax framework Thursday morning when the House ways and means committee releases its bill that is expected to expand the child tax credit, repeal the estate tax, lower the corporate tax rate and reduce the number of individual tax brackets from seven to four.But there are still key questions about what will be in the bill and whether the leadership can wrangle the votes they will need to deliver President Donald Trump a major legislative victory by the end of the year. 1208
In a vivid reminder of just how powerful Mother Nature can be, a viewer of Scripps station WEWS in Cleveland sent in this video of lightning striking a car on I-90.The driver was on his way home from Lakewood to Mentor Tuesday night when his dashcam caught the event. 290
Immigration and Customs Enforcement officers arrested 115 San Diego and Imperial County, California residents in a three-day sting targeting federal immigration law violators, officials said Friday.Among the group were 50 convicted criminals and seven people who re-entered the United States after being deported. All but seven of the arrests took place in San Diego County, according to ICE.Those arrested include a Center Street Locos Gang member in Oceanside who had been deported four previous times. He had multiple criminal convictions including grand theft, controlled substance for sale, and driving under the influence.A Kazakhstan citizen wanted by authorities in that country on charges of tax evasion and embezzlement was taken into custody in Oceanside. Interpol had issued a ‘Red Notice’ arrest warrant for him in November.Another high-profile arrest included a Mexican citizen who had served a federal prison term in 2009 after being convicted of illegal re-entry after deportation. Officials said he had three criminal convictions for spousal abuse and had previously been removed from the U.S. to Mexico on ten prior occasions. RELATED: ICE arrests 150 in Northern California, blasts Oakland mayor over warningAn immigrant who illegally reenters the United States after having been previously removed faces a felony prison term of up to 20 years, according to ICE. Four of the people arrested in the sting will face federal criminal prosecution for illegal re-entry after deportation. Those who are not facing federal charges may be immediately removed from the United States.“This week’s operation targeted public safety threats, such as convicted criminal aliens, individuals with final orders of removal, those who illegally re-entered the country after being removed, and individuals who have otherwise violated our nation’s immigration law,” said Greg Archambeault, field office director for ICE Enforcement and Removal Operations in San Diego. The three-day sting comes after a report in the Los Angeles Times indicating more immigrants with no criminal history were arrested by San Diego's Immigration and Customs Enforcement from October to December 2017 than anywhere else in the country. ICE officers arrested 1,622 people without criminal records, and 637 people with criminal records in San Diego during the first fiscal quarter of 2018, according to the LA Times.RELATED: San Diego murder suspect was undocument immigrant, sources sayICE said there are public safety targets who have not yet been arrested, including a Mexican citizen convicted of statutory rape and sex with a minor in 2012 and a known gang associate convicted of domestic violence in 2010. Both men had been previously removed from the U.S.In a news release, ICE officials cited California state laws that affect the way the agency operates. 2875