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BEIJING,Aug 9(Xinhuanet) -- China's high savings rate is expected to fall substantially in coming years as its workforce shrinks, the population ages and social security spending increases, a BIS report shows.In research published by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) on the “myth and reality” of China’s savings rate, Ma Guonan and Wang Yi found that the Asian giant needs its population to spend more in order to sustain rapid economic growth in coming years.The researchers, who were writing in their personal capacity, also reject claims that Chinese State firms have been benefiting from high savings thanks to exchange rate distortions and subsidies designed to drive economic growth.They point out that “less advantaged” and more efficient firms have been the ones posting the greatest gains in earnings in recent years rather than State-owned companies.China’s gross national savings soared from 39.2 percent of output in 1990 to 53.2 percent in 2008, far higher than the United States, which saved only 12.2 percent in 2008.Even compared to other Asian giants — Japan with 27 percent in 2007 and India with 33.6 percent in 2008 — China’s share of savings as a percentage of gross domestic product (GDP) is significantly larger.Nonetheless, the population and social trends that have underpinned China’s growth and savings rates are likely tail off significantly over the next decade, the two Chinese researchers argued.In the wake of the global slump, world leaders and economists have been asking China to spend more, rather than pin its economic growth on exports to the West, in order to help address world trade imbalances.Ma, a BIS economist and Wang, who is from the Chinese central bank, said however that the current savings trend by Chinese households will not last.The swelling working population in recent years has boosted savings in recent years, they said.In addition, large-scale corporate restructuring between 1995 and 2005 increased job uncertainty, forcing workers to set aside more money in case they were fired. The lack of a social safety net also pushed workers to make “precautionary savings.”Beyond households, government savings have also been increasing in tandem, as more is being set aside to meet pension needs which are expected to rise significantly as the population ages.However, these trends are expected to be reversed in coming years.“It is reasonable to assume that the large-scale labor retrenchment observed during 1995 to 2008 is by and large been behind us,” say the researchers.In addition, China is expected to enter into a phase of “accelerated population ageing within a decade.” This means that the workforce will decline, leading to a fall in overall income and therefore savings.At the same time, infrastructure spending is expected to continue, in order to provide for the ageing population and the urbanization of the country.

BEIJING, July 12 (Xinhua) -- Chinese Foreign Minister Yang Jiechi held official talks with his Icelandic counterpart Ossur Skarphedinsson here on Monday, vowing to further expand mutual understanding and push forward bilateral ties up to a new stage.Calling the two countries good friends and partners, Yang said China and Iceland enjoy solid foundation of trust though they had different national conditions. Both sides had fruitful cooperation in the areas such as trade, fishery and culture, and kept sound contacts and coordination in global and regional affairs."China is ready to take the chance of the 40th anniversary of the establishment of diplomatic ties next year to further enhance understanding and cooperation with Iceland," Yang said. Chinese Foreign Minister Yang Jiechi (R) shakes hands with Icelandic Foreign Minister Ossur Skarphedinsson in Beijing, capital of China, July 12, 2010.Skarphedinsson reiterated his country's adherence to the one-China policy, adding Iceland is committed to strengthening bilateral pragmatic cooperation in various areas.Hailing the smooth growth of bilateral ties, he extended appreciation for China's support for his country when it was severely hit by the global financial crisis these years.

SHANGHAI, Aug. 13 (Xinhua) - Swiss President Doris Leuthard Thursday said the rise in bilateral trade between Switzerland and China is a delightful surprise, as she seeks to expand economic cooperation with China through a free trade agreement.The trade increase was a surprise as it came during the economic crisis last year, Leuthard said.In the first six months of 2010, Swiss exports to China increased more than 30 percent and Chinese exports to Switzerland increased more than 16 percent.Total trade volume between the two countries during the period hit 6.2 billion Swiss Francs (5.86 billion U.S. dollars), she added.Leuthard said she is optimistic about the future of Sino-Swiss bilateral trade, as the two countries are working on a free trade agreement."We are ending feasibility study (for the agreement) so both sides know the market, the opportunities and the risks very well. It is very promising," she said.After the joint feasibility study, the two sides will enter the final stage ahead of the signing of the deal, she added.Talks on the free trade agreement began in 2007 when Leuthard, as head of the Federal Department of Economic Affairs, signed an agreement with then-Minister of Commerce Bo Xilai. The agreement recognized the full market status of China.Switzerland hopes to be the first European country to have a free trade agreement with China, Leuthard told Xinhua in an interview last year.China is Switzerland's second largest trade partner in Asia after Japan.

PODGORICA, June 14 (Xinhua) -- Visiting senior Chinese legislator Chen Zhili Monday met separately with Montenegrin parliament speaker Ranko Krivokapic and Prime Minister Milo Djukanovic to boost bilateral ties.Chen, vice chairwoman of the Standing Committee of China's National People's Congress (NPC), said the Chinese and Montenegrin peoples enjoy traditional friendship, and ties between the two countries have maintained strong momentum of development.Parliamentarian exchanges play a positive role in promoting political mutual trust and practical cooperation between the two countries, she said.Communication between women is conducive to deepening mutual understanding and friendship between the two countries and peoples, she added.Chen also expressed her hope that both sides should make joint efforts to further push forward bilateral ties.Krivokapic reiterated his country's adherence to the one China policy, and appreciated China's respect for Montenegrin people's choice of development mode in line with the country's specific conditions. He said the Montenegrin parliament is ready to enhance exchanges and cooperation with China's NPC.Meanwhile, Djukanovic said Montenegro expects more fruitful cooperation in various fields, especially in trade and economy, noting the two countries have achieved fruitful results in cooperation in trade and economy, culture and tourism since they forged diplomatic ties.

BEIJING, July 24 (Xinhua) - Flooding was temporarily eased on the Yangtze River as the Three Gorges Dam on China's longest river saw water levels slightly down from its crest stage, the nation's flood control authority said Saturday.The water level at the dam fell to 158.54 meters as of 8 a.m. Saturday, 0.32 meters lower than its highest level of 158.86 meters which took place on Friday morning, according to data from the Office of State Flood Control and Drought Relief HeadquartersThe water was flowing from the upper stream of the river at 31,000 cubic meters per second, said the office in a statement on its website.However, the water level was still 13.54 meters above the alarm level and is expected to increase again due to rainfall and water inflows from tributaries in the upper stream, the statement said.The office warned that the water level at the dam is very likely to exceed the historical level, if it rises again.Some of the country's other major rivers were also witnessing water levels surpassing their warning levels, including the Jialing River, Hanjiang River and Huaihe River, the statement said.Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao said China was at a "crucial stage" for flood control during an inspection tour in central China's Hubei Province that began July 23.He ordered local governments to adopt scientific measures to be well-prepared for "more serious floods and disasters" .Floods in China this year have left 742 people dead and 367 missing as of Friday, according to the flood control office.