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BEIJING, Aug. 8 -- China's consumer inflation may continue to decline in July, marking the second consecutive month this year that it has dropped, according to economists' estimates.    That may mean a departure from the rising spiral of inflation after it peaked at an annualized 8.7 percent in February. Lehman Brothers economist Sun Mingchun said his team's research found the July consumer price index (CPI), the main barometer of inflation, may drop to 6.7 percent year-on-year from 7.1 percent in June.     The domestic Bank of Communications research arm said the figure could fall at 6.4 percent, which is also the estimate of Southwest Securities. China's consumer inflation may continue to decline in July, marking the second consecutive month this year that it has dropped, according to economists' estimates.    One of the reasons why prices are stable is that there has been no flooding, a regular feature of the rainy seaon, said Sun of Lehman Brothers.     Daily price data from the Ministry of Agriculture and the National Development and Reform Commission show that agricultural product prices rose only slightly in July while meat prices fell. Weekly price data released by the Ministry of Commerce also showed a moderate decline in food prices.     The relatively high statistical base of last July also contributed to the drop in inflation this July, said Guo Tianyong, economist with the Central University of Finance and Economics.     China's CPI hit 5.6 percent year-on-year last July, the first time it reached the 5-percent level that year.     "If no major natural disaster hits China in August, CPI could fall below 6 percent in August, providing more room for the government to remove its price controls," said Sun.     Economists said that without many unexpected incidence, it will gradually ease to around 5 percent by the year-end.     A possible price liberalization of oil products, however, should not be a one-off adjustment, which will put a huge pressure on the country's battle against inflation, Guo said.     China raised the prices of oil products and electricity late June. Analysts said that once the inflation pressure eases, policymakers may start a second round of price liberalization, which may lead to a rebound in CPI.     If such liberalization moves are indeed made, they should be done in phases, not in one go, said Guo. Only that will ensure inflation does not peak again, as it did in February.     The pressure from the rising producer price index (PPI), which gauges ex-factory prices and influences CPI, may be a concern, but even taking into consideration its impact, consumer inflation may no longer exceed the February peak in the coming months and the first half of next year     "The worst times are behind us," said Dong Xianan, macroeconomic analyst with Southwest Securities.     "From the second half of last year, the tightenting stance had been obvious, which is a pre-emptive move to ensure the current easing of inflation."     Macroeconomic growth     The economic growth may gradually slow down in the rest of the year, analysts said, but the fine-tuning of policies would shore it up.     Dong from Southwest Securities forecasts that given the current growth momentum, the whole-year figure for GDP growth may be 10.1 percent, well below the 11.9 percent of last year. Other estimates are around the 10 percent mark.     The global economic slow-down, which reduces external demand for China's exports, will bring much trouble to China, but its domestic consumption and investment will remain stable, analysts said.     More importantly, the central authorities may adjust its tight policies to cater to individual demand of regions and sectors that have found it difficult to survive the tightened policies.

BEIJING, Sept. 11 (Xinhua) -- With the Beijing Paralympic Games under way, Chinese President Hu Jintao and other top leaders watched a musical and dancing performance staged by disabled artists in Beijing on Thursday night.     The grand show, titled "My Dream," was presented by the China Disabled People's Performing Art Troupe (CDPPAT) in the Poly Theatre in downtown Beijing. Specially prepared for the Beijing Olympics and Paralympics, the show has been continuously modified and Thursday's was already its fifth edition.     Sitting among the audience were Party and state leaders Wu Bangguo, Wen Jiabao, Jia Qinglin, Li Changchun, Xi Jinping, Li Keqiang, He Guoqiang and Zhou Yongkang, as well as International Paralympic Committee (IPC) President Philip Craven and International Olympic Committee Honorary President Juan Antonio Samaranch. Chinese President Hu Jintao greets artists of China Disabled People's Performing Art Troupe after their performance "My Dream" at the Poly Theatre in Beijing Sept. 11, 2008The performance -- a mixture of music, dancing, Peking Opera, dancing drama and music drama -- has been a hit since its debut on Aug. 10, staged for more than 40 times in the Chinese capital.     The performance on Thursday night began with a poem titled "My Dream," which was presented by performers using the sign language.     "We are trying to hear sounds and rhythms in silence, to see light in darkness, and to pursue perfection with disabilities," the poem goes.     In a classical repertoire of the troupe called the Thousand-hand Bodhisattva, Tai Lihua, a deaf dancer with great popularity in China, led 20 other hearing-impaired dancers in golden costumes to perform in breath-taking synchronicity. Chinese President Hu Jintao, other top party and state leaders Wu Bangguo, Wen Jiabao, Jia Qinglin, Li Changchun, Xi Jinping, Li Keqiang, He Guoqiang and Zhou Yongkang, International Paralympic Committee President Philip Craven and International Olympic Committee Honorary President Juan Antonio Samaranch pose for a group photo with artists of China Disabled People's Performing Art Troupe after the performance "My Dream" at the Poly Theatre in Beijing，China, Sept. 11, 2008Other highlights of the show included singing by disabled vocalists, playing of traditional Chinese musical instruments by blind musicians, and rhythmic dances and Peking Opera performance by blind, deaf or amputated artists.     Amazed by the spectacular show, the entire audience, including President Hu and IPC chief Craven, warmly applauded time and again to show their respect for the artists.     When the show ended, Hu, Craven and others also ascended the stage to shake hands with the performers and congratulate them on the success of the performance.

HAIKOU, Oct. 3 (Xinhua) -- Higos, the 17th tropical storm of the year, landed in China's southernmost Hainan Province Friday evening, local observatory said.     Higos landed at 10:15 p.m. in Longlou Town, Wenchang City, 19.6 degrees north latitude and 111.0 degrees east longitude. The wind speed at the eye of the storm was 18 meters per second, according to the Hainan Provincial Meteorological Observatory.     It was forecast to weaken and move northwest towards the coastal areas of western Guangdong Province. Delayed trucks are parked at the Xiuying port in Haikou, capital of south China's Hainan Province Oct. 3, 2008, due to the suspension of ferry service.In total, 24,115 fishing boats in the province had returned to port and coastal fisheries staff had gone home. All recreational sporting activities on the air or sea were also suspended on Friday, said Lin Mingzhong, Hainan Provincial Office for Flood, Wind and Drought Control deputy director.     He predicted Higos would have minor impact on the island as the rainfall was expected to be around 100 mm. It was likely to affect some small reservoirs as their current water level was high.     Higos was formed on Tuesday in the Pacific Ocean, coming on the heels of tropical storms Jangmi and Hagupit, which combined had killed about 20 people in China. A rescue ship waits at a port in Haikou, capital of south China's Hainan Province Oct. 3, 2008. Higos, the 17th tropical storm this year, will drop heavy rain on parts of south China's Guangdong and Hainan provinces over the next two days, the country's National Meteorological Observatory said on Thursday.

MIANYANG, Sichuan, May 22 (Xinhua) -- Ten days after the devastating earthquake in southwest China, six days after he returned to Beijing, Premier Wen Jiabao was back on the front lines of quake relief.     He flew to Mianyang in Sichuan Province, one of the worst hit cities, on Thursday afternoon. Upon arrival, he conducted a fly-over inspection by helicopter of a "quake lake," which is formed by landslides that block rivers.     People would have found him on the same tight schedule early this year as Wen visited the regions hit by the worst winter weather in 50 years four times in nine days.     The Hong Kong-based daily Ta Kung Pao said in a commentary: "Chinese premiers have developed an image of being caring and conscientious since late Zhou Enlai, the first premier of the People's Republic of China."     When a 6.8-magnitude earthquake rocked Xingtai, in the northern Hebei Province in 1966, Zhou rushed to the region and oversaw relief work, risking aftershocks, Du Xiuxian, a photographer of Zhou's era, recalled in his published photographic memoir "The Last Legends."     Wen has inherited that tradition of Chinese premiership. Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao (C) talks to local officials in Beichuan, southwest China's Sichuan Province, on May 22, 2008. Wen Jiabao made his second trip to the quake-battered zone on Thursday afternoon to oversee disaster relief work. Two hours after the quake rocked Wenchuan County in the northwestern mountainous region of Sichuan Province, he was in theair.     As a large part of the country felt the tremors and experienced great shock, Wen promised the country in front of China Central Television (CCTV) camera that the government would lead the people to win the battle against the earthquake.     "Confronted with the disaster, we need composure, confidence, courage and an effective command," he said with a sober and steadfast attitude.     During the next four days, Wen set foot in almost all of the worst-hit counties, walking over rocks and tiles, comforting weeping children and encouraging rescuers.     He made it very clear that the top task at the initial stage was to save lives, and he pressed officials and troops very hard to implement rescue work.     Back in Beijing on May 16, Wen did not relax but hosted several key meetings on rescue and relief work.     Observers found that he has presided over at least 13 high-level meetings since the quake.     At these meetings, the topics under discussion ranged from big issues such as the top priorities of the relief task force to tiny details like milk powder for infants.     He stressed prevention of epidemics and handling of victims' corpses, told an expert team to give scientific and technical support to rescue and relief work, and worked out solutions to homeless survivors' problems.     While guidelines were set for relief work, detailed orders were made as well, such as to send 6,000 temporary houses within two days and order rescue teams to reach all remote quake-hit villages within 24 hours. Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao (R) shakes hands with a soldier in Beichuan, southwest China's Sichuan Province, on May 22, 2008. Wen Jiabao made his second trip to the quake-battered zone on Thursday afternoon to oversee disaster relief work.Rehabilitation was also discussed and a directive was issued to fully consider the geological conditions and bearing capability of the local environment so as to balance cities and rural areas, industry and agriculture.     The focus has shifted from rescue to rehabilitation of quake survivors and their communities, he said Thursday while en route to Sichuan. The latter "will be a harder and long-term task," he said.     Chinese are captivated by what the premier has done.     Chen Hui, a middle-aged mother in Chongqing Municipality near Sichuan that was also affected by the quake, participated in a text message prayer campaign for Wen.     She sent a text message to her son in Beijing, saying: "The 66-year-old Premier Wen has worked really hard for quake relief. He has comforted and moved us. Pass this on your friends, pray for him."     Chen received the message from a friend. The campaign, whose organizer is unknown, aims to collect 1 million prayer text messages.     A compilation of scenes of Wen's visit to Sichuan is popular on-line and Netizens have created a forum called "Premier Wen, we love you."     "As one of China's senior leaders, the premier not only manages the government's daily work but also displays the ruling party's ideals and principles personally," Ta Kung Pao said. "A premier of China can not be copied elsewhere."

来源：资阳报