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SAN DIEGO (KGTV) -- Economic forecasters are beginning to warn of a possible 2020 recession, and the impact they say will be felt in the Golden State, according to a new report by UCLA.“Don’t celebrate the 3.1% GDP growth estimate for the first quarter of 2019,” writes UCLA Anderson Professor Emeritus Edward Leamer. Leamer is quoted in a recent report produced by the UCLA Anderson School of Management. According to Leamer, the data actually increases the risk of a recession at some point in the next couple of years. Nationally, economic growth is expected to slow marginally to 2.1 percent in the fourth quarter of 2019 and 1.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2020. RELATED: Fed cuts interest rates for the first time since recessionThe good news is that the report predicts an economic rebound, growing again to 2.1 percent in the fourth quarter of 2021. So what picture does the report paint for California? One forecaster says you can expect California unemployment to rise modestly. “Weakness in housing as well as the slowing U.S. economy is reflected in a very modest growth rate in the U.S. in late 2020,” UCLA Anderson Forecast director Jerry Nickelsburg writes. “As a consequence, we expect California’s average unemployment rate to rise slightly to an average of 4.6% in the first quarter of 2021. For the entire year for 2020 and 2021, we expect average unemployment rates of 4.3% and 4.4%, respectively.”Meanwhile, personal income growth in the state of California is forecast at 2.9 percent in 2019. But the report warns that income growth is expected to slow to 1.9 percent by 2020.It’s not all bad news, however, income growth is expected to rise fairly quickly again in 2021, and is forecast to reach 2.1 percent by the end of the year. There's more good news. The Federal Reserve Wednesday lowered interest rates for the first time since the Great Recession in 2008 to help prevent an economic downturn. 1936

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) — Dominic Pizarro lost his mom and his little sister on Thursday, after a wrong-way driver drove into their SUV on Interstate 805. Pizarro spoke with 10News as he and his grandfather drove back to San Diego to support Dominic's older brother - who was the first to hear the tragic news. Trevor Heitmann, 18, was behind the wheel of the 2014 McLaren?sports car that collided with the SUV, killing himself, and 43-year-old Aileen Pizarro and her 12-year-old daughter, Aryana. "Both of them were the most caring...people full of life, you've ever met in the world," Pizarro said. The way his mother and sister died has dominated local news outlets since it happened.Heitmann was traveling at high speeds Thursday, heading southbound in a northbound HOV lane at about 4:30 p.m. near La Jolla Village Dr. before the collision, CHP said. Troopers believe he entered via an HOV lane access at Carol Canyon Rd. Pizarro said his family was as close as can be - the siblings were all musicians. "(Aryana) was just the most unique little girl in the whole wide world," he said. "She was your average girly girl at times, and at times she was this feisty little 12-year-old who was just so smart, so mature for her age."The siblings were raised by their mom and grandfather. Their mom Aileen was a therapist devoted to helping others.  "Everything (my mom and grandpa) had went to us," Pizarro said. "Every single dollar, every single cent was put into me and my brother and sister."Pizarro said the family will never forget their caring mother and feisty sister, as he also recalled the last conversation he had with Aryana. "She was showing me all these unicorn things she got, unicorn pencils, unicorn notebooks," he said. "She was showing me everything that she was going to wear or take to school because she was so proud of everything that mom had gotten her for school."Aryana was set to start seventh grade at the School of Creative and Performing Arts on Monday.Pizarro set up a GoFundMe page to support the family during this tough time, but also asked those aware of the story for their prayers.  2175

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) -- Harbor Police were searching for a vandal Monday who set off a panic at an upscale steak house along the Embarcadero.Customers took cover under tables and ran for the exits at Ruth’s Chris Steak House Sunday night when projectiles smashed through at least two of the restaurant’s bay-facing windows. Someone inside the restaurant shouted “gun,” prompting fears of an active shooter, customers told 10News.“It was one of the craziest things I’ve ever been through,” said Joey Giacalone, a long-time patron and former co-owner of the Venetian Restaurant in Point Loma. “I mean everyone is diving under tables. It was pandemonium.”Two bartenders and a manager jumped into action, Giacalone and his wife said, directing guests to take cover and then evacuate the restaurant.RELATED: Hillcrest restaurant reopens after one week after shooting“There were cooks telling us to come to the back door. They sent us through the kitchen. Because again, no one knew what information was really out there. We thought there was an active shooter,” he said. “I kept envisioning a gunman coming around the corner to shoot us all,” Juli Giacalone added.One of the servers working that night survived the Route 91mass shooting in Las Vegas. Ricca Salazar “reacted quickly and ran out the back door with a couple other staff members,” her husband wrote on Facebook. “She fell and they helped her up,” he said. “Scary night, scary scenario.”Harbor Police determined someone had thrown rocks through the windows. Investigators believe the unidentified vandal may have been a disgruntled customer who left the restaurant without paying earlier that evening, said Lt. Victor Banuelos.Joey Giacalone said the man had been acting strangely.“One guest said he saw him going into the women’s bathroom and said, ‘What the hell are you doing?’ And then he left,” he said.The Giacalones commended staff members for going “above-and-beyond” during the incident.“Everyone is panicking and these guys are saying, ‘Forget about me. I have to do my job for this staff and my guests,’” Joey Giacalone said.Afterward, Juli Giacalone said one of the bartenders approached her with a to-go bag in hand.“She’s like, ‘Here’s your food!’ Through the whole ordeal of being rushed out and fleeing -- we thought -- for our lives, she had carried our to-go bag through the whole situation.”Anyone with information on the vandalism should call Port of San Diego Harbor Police at 619-686-6272, Lt. Banuelos said. 2492

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) - Dozens of voters were left off the roster at a San Diego County polling place on Election Day, leading to frustration and delays.The problem was reported Tuesday morning at Pacific Trails Middle School at 5975 Village Center Loop Rd in Carmel Valley.Poll workers received an incomplete roster which omitted 46 names, Registrar of Voters Michael Vu confirmed. The list was missing two and a half pages.YOUR VOICE YOUR VOTE: 10News?Election CoverageVoters waited for voting officials to reprint another roster and deliver it to the polling place.Officials tried to ease the long line by calling the Registrar of Voters and getting approval for each person over the phone, a voter told 10News.Voters also had the option of voting provisionally, but many of them declined, telling 10News they wanted their votes to count. Provisional voting requires extra processing time to verify residences and identities.The San Diego Superior Court announced Monday it would have a judicial officer on hand to deal with any possible election-related issues, including registration, denial of registration of voters, certification or denial of certification of candidates or the certification or denial of certification of ballot measures.RELATED: Judicial officer on hand for Election DayVoters were encouraged to contact the Registrar of Voters at 858-565-5800 with any concerns. 1411

SAN DIEGO (KGTV) – Get outside this weekend, exercise your brain, or perhaps both!This weekend is packed with fun educational activities just as school gets back in session for thousands of San Diegans.The New Children's Museum has brought back their "No Rules...Expect" art installation, giving kids the chance to exercise their creativity and have fun jumping on more than 40 mattresses. Perfect to let out that extra summer energy, or just jump on beds.Not interested in anything here? Check out the 10News?community events calendar for a look at even more things to doThe North County is bringing the music this weekend between Pacific Highlands Ranch's Summer and Songs concert series and the Carlsbad Music Festival as well.San Diego's Festival of Books will connect readers, authors, and artists together at Liberty Station for a day dedicated to the love of reading.Plus much more fun around town. Here's a look at some of this weekend's highlights:THURSDAY"No Rules....Except" art installationWhere: New Children's Museum; Cost: Free - Kids like jumping on beds despite your wishes? The New Children's Museum is bringing back their "No Rules....Except" art installation, featuring more than 40 mattresses and 160 pillow "tires" ripe for jumping. Take the kids out to jump at their heart's content. 2nd annual Summer & Songs festivalWhere: The Village at Pacific Highlands Ranch; Cost: FreeCheck out a free outdoor concert in Pacific Highlands Ranch during the 8-week Summer and Songs concert series. This week's performance feature's San Diego singer Christine Parker. FRIDAY15th annual Carlsbad Music FestivalWhere: St. Michael's By the Sea; Cost: Free - 9(Friday - Sunday) The Carlsbad Music Festival brings an eclectic mix of music, from contemporary classical to indie rock to world music, just steps from the beach. Free and ticketed concert options are available, as well as a beer garden, food trucks, and shopping. Movie Night Aboard the USS Midway MuseumWhere: USS Midway Museum; Cost: - Catch a movie on the deck of the historic USS Midway, with this weekend's screening of Black Panther. Crews will also be holding a back-to-school drive, and ask any movie-goers to contribute supplies for military-connected youth and schools. SATURDAYBe the Change 5KWhere: Hilton Bayfront Hotel; Cost: Lace up your running shoes and hit the pavement for a good cause. The Be the Change 5K donates 100 percent of net proceeds to Make-A-Wish San Diego, Caterina’s Club and the Gary Sinise Foundation charities. In return, you get a scenic run along San Diego Bay, a wellness festival, and goodies! 2nd?annual San Diego Festival of BooksWhere: Liberty Station; Cost: Free (Donations accepted)Feed your love of reading at the San Diego Festival of Books at Liberty Station, bringing together local readers, writers and artists for a day packed with discussions and exhibits. SUNDAY10th annual San Diego Spirits FestivalWhere: Port Pavillion Broadway Pier; Cost: - 0(Saturday - Sunday) Mixologists and spirit aficionados will sip and mingle at the 10th annual Spirits Festival this weekend on the Broadway Pier. The two-day event features live entertainment, a fashion show, bartender battles, chef demonstrations, and more!  14th Annual LeucadiART WalkWhere: N. Coast Highway 101; Cost: FreeEnjoy a day at Encinitas' free outdoor art festival LeucadiART, featuring live music, dancing and artist demonstrations, a beer garden, and a new children's art pavilion! 3593